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DocJeffD's profile
Jeffrey Duchin, MD
Jeffrey Duchin, MD
Jeffrey Duchin, MD
@DocJeffD

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Jeffrey Duchin, MD

@DocJeffD

Health Officer, Public Health - Seattle & King County, WA; Prof. Medicine/Infectious Diseases, U Washington. EIS '92. Personal account, not representing PHSKC.

Seattle, WA
Joined January 2011

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    Jeffrey Duchin, MD‏ @DocJeffD Jan 2

    Straight Talk About the New Variant COVID-19 Strain. As much as I regret saying it just when so many need & deserve a break, the new variant COVID-19 strain is a serious problem. It’s likely a matter of time before it arrives here & we need to beware & prepare. Here’s why. 1/

    9:52 PM - 2 Jan 2021
    • 1,632 Retweets
    • 4,728 Likes
    • 🅼🅴🅻🅸🆂🅰 🆅🅴🅻🅰🆂🅲🅾 🍑 🅽🅸🅲🅾🅻🅴 🅼🅸🅻🅻🅴🆁 👅 Kristen aurorakangaspuu ELFster🎵 Casey Hinds Suburban antifa mom #OpenBorders🏳️‍🌈 Jordan Foley Matt G. Kisosondi 3
    115 replies 1,632 retweets 4,728 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Jeffrey Duchin, MD‏ @DocJeffD Jan 2

        All viruses mutate resulting in new strains that vary from their ancestors. These are called variant strains. Most coronavirus mutations don’t fundamentally change how the virus behaves or affects us. 2/

        4 replies 38 retweets 548 likes
        Show this thread
      3. Jeffrey Duchin, MD‏ @DocJeffD Jan 2

        However, at least one newly recognized strain, often called B.1.1.7., “SARS-CoV-2 VOC 202012/01” or an "N501Y" strain, has been shown to have multiple mutations that are changing the way the virus behaves in important ways. 3/

        1 reply 47 retweets 575 likes
        Show this thread
      4. Jeffrey Duchin, MD‏ @DocJeffD Jan 2

        This B.1.1.7. variant has been found in many countries, most notably the UK, & in several US states but not in Washington state yet, although it may very well be present at low levels & undetected. Once it hits a critical threshold, it will spread rapidly unless we slow it. 4/

        4 replies 44 retweets 545 likes
        Show this thread
      5. Jeffrey Duchin, MD‏ @DocJeffD Jan 2

        Most important to know at the moment is that the new strain spreads more easily (that is, faster) than other strains - it’s more contagious. This means if exposed, your risk of becoming infected is higher with the variant strain than with the previous strains. 5/

        8 replies 96 retweets 620 likes
        Show this thread
      6. Jeffrey Duchin, MD‏ @DocJeffD Jan 2

        And if infected with the variant strain, you are more likely to spread your COVID-19 to others. Each person infected with the variant strain spreads it to more people than they would have if infected with previous strains. 6/

        3 replies 69 retweets 559 likes
        Show this thread
      7. Jeffrey Duchin, MD‏ @DocJeffD Jan 2

        Some good news: at this time, people infected with the variant strain don’t seem to have more severe illnesses than with previous strains. And it’s likely that vaccines will still be highly effective (although this needs to be monitored). 7/

        5 replies 44 retweets 599 likes
        Show this thread
      8. Jeffrey Duchin, MD‏ @DocJeffD Jan 2

        However, faster spread leads to more people becoming infected in a shorter period of time, and that’s dangerous. A rapid increase in people with COVID-19 causes fast-growing outbreaks & more people infected means more requiring hospitalization & more people dying. 8/

        5 replies 86 retweets 648 likes
        Show this thread
      9. Jeffrey Duchin, MD‏ @DocJeffD Jan 2

        This can increase suffering in our community & overload our healthcare system, further increasing the danger for bad outcomes from COVID-19 & from other serious medical problems if hospitals can’t provide their usual level of care. 9/

        2 replies 46 retweets 520 likes
        Show this thread
      10. Jeffrey Duchin, MD‏ @DocJeffD Jan 2

        👉This is important: THE VARIANT STRAIN SPREADS THE SAME WAY as other COVID-19 strains, IT'S JUST BETTER AT IT. For this reason, WE NEED TO GET BETTER at the same effective ways of stopping the spread until enough of us are vaccinated. 10/

        14 replies 423 retweets 1,542 likes
        Show this thread
      11. Jeffrey Duchin, MD‏ @DocJeffD Jan 2

        That means decreasing activities & the number & duration of contacts w/others outside the home (keep it brief), always wear face masks when around non-household members indoors, avoiding crowded/poorly ventilated indoor spaces, improving ventilation in homes & workplaces... 11/

        1 reply 132 retweets 811 likes
        Show this thread
      12. Jeffrey Duchin, MD‏ @DocJeffD Jan 2

        ...keeping 6 feet distance (or more when possible), & paying attention to environmental cleaning & hand washing. Consider looking onto germ-killing UV technology for buildings in addition to improving ventilation (see CDC site below). 12/

        5 replies 72 retweets 608 likes
        Show this thread
      13. Jeffrey Duchin, MD‏ @DocJeffD Jan 2

        If you’re exposed to COVID-19, please quarantine & if ill, isolate. Please don’t go out - to work, socialize or elsewhere - if you’ve been exposed or have symptoms. Travel is risky – best to avoid it if you can but if you must, take precautions including quarantine & testing. 13/

        2 replies 57 retweets 576 likes
        Show this thread
      14. Jeffrey Duchin, MD‏ @DocJeffD Jan 2

        Remember COVID-19 can spread from people that look & feel well. Don't let your guard down around friends or relatives just because they look healthy - they may not know they are infected but can unintentionally spread COVID-19. 14/

        6 replies 117 retweets 733 likes
        Show this thread
      15. Jeffrey Duchin, MD‏ @DocJeffD Jan 2

        Ultimately, vaccination is our best defense but at this time it can’t be our only defense. When you are able, get vaccinated to protect yourself & others. Will update as more information about the variant strain is available. Some key resources follow. We can do it. 15/

        14 replies 46 retweets 601 likes
        Show this thread
      16. Jeffrey Duchin, MD‏ @DocJeffD Jan 2

        CDC info on variant coronavirus. https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/more/scientific-brief-emerging-variant.html … 16/

        2 replies 72 retweets 375 likes
        Show this thread
      17. Jeffrey Duchin, MD‏ @DocJeffD Jan 2

        CDC info on staying safe during travel. https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/travelers/travel-during-covid19.html … 17/

        3 replies 27 retweets 261 likes
        Show this thread
      18. Jeffrey Duchin, MD‏ @DocJeffD Jan 2

        CDC info in protecting yourself from COVID-19. https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/your-health/need-to-know.html … 18/

        2 replies 27 retweets 247 likes
        Show this thread
      19. Jeffrey Duchin, MD‏ @DocJeffD Jan 2

        CDC info on improving ventilation and germ killing UV for buildings. https://www.cdc.gov/coronavirus/2019-ncov/community/ventilation.html … 19/

        4 replies 67 retweets 341 likes
        Show this thread
      20. Jeffrey Duchin, MD‏ @DocJeffD Jan 2

        Interview with our own Trevor Bedford, world class computational biologist tracking COVID-19 strains. https://www.seattletimes.com/seattle-news/health/a-qa-about-the-new-coronavirus-variant-with-the-fred-hutch-scientist-whos-been-tracking-its-spread/ … 20/20

        22 replies 113 retweets 494 likes
        Show this thread
      21. End of conversation

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