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Detlef van Vuuren proslijedio/la je Tweet
That 90th percentile was among baseline runs It was a statement about the model distribution It had no mapping to the real world
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Detlef van Vuuren proslijedio/la je Tweet
Pls RT: Free access to paper documenting the trend of increasing floor area per capita in
#homes & why these sorts of changes in#demographics and comfort expectations should be important in#energy research and policy@NatureEnergyJnl#housing#ageing http://rdcu.be/b0Dpq pic.twitter.com/h060CgswPi
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Detlef van Vuuren proslijedio/la je Tweet
What's interesting is that
@DetlefvanVuuren's original RCP paper did have some signaling of likelihood: they said RCP8.5 represented the 90th percentile of no policy baseline runs. Unfortunately that number almost never showed up outside that original paper. 2/2Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Detlef van Vuuren proslijedio/la je Tweet
Energy efficiency could help limit global warming to 1.5C, study says |
@daisydunnesci@TyndallCentre w/comment@DetlefvanVuuren http://j.mp/2Hk5Kyh pic.twitter.com/32czqaG57G
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Detlef van Vuuren proslijedio/la je Tweet
In fairness the highest cited RCP paper does not say business as usualpic.twitter.com/GNhyNPx9Tp
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Detlef van Vuuren proslijedio/la je Tweet
It is not called 'BAU', please see the original papers about RCP8.5 by Riahi 2011 and bij
@DetlefvanVuuren and others. There is no claim of 'likelihood' whatsoever by the authors of RCP8.5. This is what I mentioned earlier about the term 'BAU':pic.twitter.com/ex4DqXVcQq
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Detlef van Vuuren proslijedio/la je Tweet
Food for thought &
#openacces in@PNASNews: Social tipping dynamics for stabilizing Earth’s climate by 2050, by@ilonamotto@fireboldy@jrockstrom@RogerCremades@avitbhowmik@McCaffreyMark@doesylvan@AlexLenferna@DetlefvanVuuren et al. https://doi.org/10.1073/pnas.1900577117 …#tippingpointspic.twitter.com/hAaZvbr5U6
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Detlef van Vuuren proslijedio/la je Tweet
Yeh, we were careful in our Nature piece to criticize the RCP8.5 emission scenario. We suggest that RCP8.5 and SSP5-8.5 shouldn't necessarily be scrapped, just properly contextualized as worst case outcomes and used along with other more plausible baselines in impact studies.
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Detlef van Vuuren proslijedio/la je Tweet
This is a really good article on our RCP8.5 comment and the larger debate (in Dutch, though Google Translate works well) featuring
@DetlefvanVuuren@HeleendeConinck@RogerPielkeJrhttps://www.volkskrant.nl/wetenschap/kwart-klimaatonderzoeken-veel-te-pessimistisch-over-toekomst~b6db636d/ …Prikaži ovu nitHvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Detlef van Vuuren proslijedio/la je Tweet
Our
#tippingpoints paper on@nytimes: "identifies some possible levers, or social tipping interventions, that could put the planet on track to halve global emissions by 2030 and tip the scales to net zero emissions by 2050"https://www.nytimes.com/2020/01/22/climate/nytimes-newsletter-climate-change.html#click=https://t.co/ly3qv0XbII …Prikaži ovu nitHvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Detlef van Vuuren proslijedio/la je Tweet
Collega
@DetlefvanVuuren@leefomgeving blikt op@refdag terug op Klimaattop Madrid#COP25 en vooruit naar Glasgow#COP26 Welke rol kan Europa spelen in het boeken van vooruitgang?https://bit.ly/2szndRAHvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Detlef van Vuuren proslijedio/la je Tweet
Tnx .
@DetlefvanVuuren spot on presentation! At@Rabobank Climate Symposium (.@leefomgeving)#RaboResearchpic.twitter.com/tWB3qRw25V
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Analysis of global demand for food, energy and water and underlying links. Scenarios show how efficiency measures can limit env. impact. With cool Sankey diagrams. https://www.uu.nl/en/news/integrated-scenarios-to-support-analysis-of-the-food-energy-water-nexus …
@UUCopernicus@UUGeo@naturesustainab@nlenvironagency@IMAGE_PBLHvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi -
Analyse van mondiale vraag naar voedsel, energie en water en onderliggende verbanden. Scenario's laten zien hoe efficientie maatregelen de impact kan beperken. Met mooie Sankey-diagrammen. https://www.uu.nl/nieuws/wereldwijd-verband-tussen-voedsel-energie-en-water-nu-beter-te-analyseren …
@UUCopernicus@UUGeo@naturesustainab@nlenvironagency@IMAGE_PBLpic.twitter.com/frnD2xZVHr
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Detlef van Vuuren proslijedio/la je Tweet
Our paper on universal access to clean cooking energy in Sub-Saharan Africa is out. https://authors.elsevier.com/a/1aB5e1H%7Ec%7E7blf … Main findings: - Baseline trends leave a billion people without access to modern cooking fuels. - Phasing-out traditional biomass may lead to lower total cost of cooking.pic.twitter.com/KkGTiMaA94
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Detlef van Vuuren proslijedio/la je Tweet
Do latest climate model results mean that warming is worse than we thought?
@NatureClimate comment. See thread https://www.nature.com/articles/s41558-019-0660-0 …pic.twitter.com/zKmLgsNpb7
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Can IAMs help to make scenarios on needed action to meet the SDGs? Paper on whether models cover SDGs: below the graph in which models teams indicated their ability to do relevant work. Differs strongly per SDG. https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2589791819300179 …
@Hel1vs@UUCopernicuspic.twitter.com/UVS7bmmwSq
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Our new paper in Nature Sustainability : Integrated scenarios to support analysis of the food–energy–water nexus. Exploring some efficiency options and presenting cool Sankey diagrams. https://www.nature.com/articles/s41893-019-0418-8 …
@nlenvironagency@UUCopernicus@IMAGE_PBLpic.twitter.com/05eyiq7doO
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Detlef van Vuuren proslijedio/la je Tweet
Yet another year, global CO2 emissions to increase in 2019. http://bit.ly/2ReaYnT Our Global Carbon Budget 2019 just published
@PFriedling@Peters_Glen@clequere@robbie_andrew@VHaverdpic.twitter.com/9RxKDqDLkf
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Detlef van Vuuren proslijedio/la je Tweet
The
#globalstocktake tool is updated, now including greenhouse gas projections from national models and an overview of emission peak years and the year emissions go to net zero#COP25 https://themasites.pbl.nl/global-stocktake-indicators/ … & https://www.pbl.nl/en/news/2019/update-of-stocktake-tool-hosted-by-pbl-measures-progress-towards-paris-goals …@C_DLINKS@nlenvironagencypic.twitter.com/CKgTUGBGu5
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