Detlef van Vuuren

@DetlefvanVuuren

PL integrated assessment modeling team at PBL NL Environmental Assessment Agency; prof. integrated assessment - Global Environm.Change at Utrecht University

Netherlands
Vrijeme pridruživanja: lipanj 2015.

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  1. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    Odgovor korisnicima i sljedećem broju korisnika:

    That 90th percentile was among baseline runs It was a statement about the model distribution It had no mapping to the real world

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  2. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    3. velj

    Pls RT: Free access to paper documenting the trend of increasing floor area per capita in & why these sorts of changes in and comfort expectations should be important in research and policy

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  3. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    2. velj
    Odgovor korisnicima i sljedećem broju korisnika:

    What's interesting is that 's original RCP paper did have some signaling of likelihood: they said RCP8.5 represented the 90th percentile of no policy baseline runs. Unfortunately that number almost never showed up outside that original paper. 2/2

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  4. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    4. lip 2018.

    Energy efficiency could help limit global warming to 1.5C, study says | w/comment

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  5. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    31. sij
    Odgovor korisnicima i sljedećem broju korisnika:

    In fairness the highest cited RCP paper does not say business as usual

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  6. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    30. sij
    Odgovor korisniku/ci

    It is not called 'BAU', please see the original papers about RCP8.5 by Riahi 2011 and bij and others. There is no claim of 'likelihood' whatsoever by the authors of RCP8.5. This is what I mentioned earlier about the term 'BAU':

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  7. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    28. sij
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  8. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    30. sij
    Odgovor korisnicima i sljedećem broju korisnika:

    Yeh, we were careful in our Nature piece to criticize the RCP8.5 emission scenario. We suggest that RCP8.5 and SSP5-8.5 shouldn't necessarily be scrapped, just properly contextualized as worst case outcomes and used along with other more plausible baselines in impact studies.

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  9. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    29. sij

    This is a really good article on our RCP8.5 comment and the larger debate (in Dutch, though Google Translate works well) featuring

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  10. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    23. sij

    Our paper on : "identifies some possible levers, or social tipping interventions, that could put the planet on track to halve global emissions by 2030 and tip the scales to net zero emissions by 2050"

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  11. proslijedio/la je Tweet

    Collega blikt op terug op Klimaattop Madrid en vooruit naar Glasgow Welke rol kan Europa spelen in het boeken van vooruitgang?

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  12. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    13. pro 2019.

    Tnx . spot on presentation! At Climate Symposium (.)

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  13. 9. pro 2019.

    Analysis of global demand for food, energy and water and underlying links. Scenarios show how efficiency measures can limit env. impact. With cool Sankey diagrams.

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  14. 9. pro 2019.

    Analyse van mondiale vraag naar voedsel, energie en water en onderliggende verbanden. Scenario's laten zien hoe efficientie maatregelen de impact kan beperken. Met mooie Sankey-diagrammen.

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  15. proslijedio/la je Tweet

    Our paper on universal access to clean cooking energy in Sub-Saharan Africa is out. Main findings: - Baseline trends leave a billion people without access to modern cooking fuels. - Phasing-out traditional biomass may lead to lower total cost of cooking.

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  16. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    2. pro 2019.

    Do latest climate model results mean that warming is worse than we thought? comment. See thread

    , , i još njih 6
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  17. 3. pro 2019.

    Can IAMs help to make scenarios on needed action to meet the SDGs? Paper on whether models cover SDGs: below the graph in which models teams indicated their ability to do relevant work. Differs strongly per SDG.

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  18. 3. pro 2019.

    Our new paper in Nature Sustainability : Integrated scenarios to support analysis of the food–energy–water nexus. Exploring some efficiency options and presenting cool Sankey diagrams.

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  19. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    3. pro 2019.

    Yet another year, global CO2 emissions to increase in 2019. Our Global Carbon Budget 2019 just published

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  20. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    3. pro 2019.

    The tool is updated, now including greenhouse gas projections from national models and an overview of emission peak years and the year emissions go to net zero &

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