Derek J. Grossman

@DerekJGrossman

National security & Indo-Pacific analysis . Adjunct Professor . Santa Monica/DC. Opinions mine, but you're free to adopt them.

Santa Monica, CA
Vrijeme pridruživanja: srpanj 2016.

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  1. Prikvačeni tweet
    28. sij

    A version of my chapter "Military Build Up in the SCS" is now available. It appears in official form in eds & Leszek Buszynski "The SCS From a Regional Maritime Dispute to Geo-Strategic Competition," for purchase here 👉 ().

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  2. Something may be brewing here and it isn’t good for Xi...only time will tell.

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  3. If you want to learn more about how Trump is running NSC meetings to make decisions, this is a very insightful thread. Spoiler alert: “group think” is a huge problem (once again).

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  4. William Lai’s visit to the NSC and the displays of bipartisan support to Taiwan during his DC trip must be getting under Beijing’s skin.

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  5. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    6. velj

    According to reporting, VP-elect William Lai visited the National Security Council / White House today and discussed with administration officials for 70 mins. No information released yet on who he met.

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  6. 6. velj

    Chinese leaders charge propaganda infrastructure with “vividly conveying the stirring achievements from the front lines of epidemic prevention” & “showing the Chinese people’s unity and spirit of pulling together in difficult times.”

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    6. velj

    O'Brien again seems to imply here that there is a difference of opinion between Kim Jong Un and his top officials on denuclearization.

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  8. 6. velj

    With recent speculation of a secret military visit, I doubt this is all about coronavirus: “Hun Sen said that he decided to make a special visit to China with an aim to showcase Cambodia's support to China in fighting the outbreak of the epidemic.”

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  9. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    5. velj

    Comments to on VP-elect William Lai's DC visit. Basically, Lai is the most senior political figure to be allowed to visit DC in recent decades and an important demonstration of trust and support as Beijing increases its pressure on Taiwan.

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  10. 5. velj

    Look closely to see who isn’t on this list.

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  11. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    4. velj

    Following Xi’s call on Monday for better propaganda and “public opinion guidance” work to tell the positive story of China’s fight against the outbreak, the Central Propaganda Department is sending 300+ journalists to Wuhan and Hubei for “frontline reporting.”

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  12. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    5. velj

    "in Vietnam, the delta is sinking into the rising sea. Disturbingly, none of this is likely to make upstream countries, especially China and Laos, change course and co-operate with their neighbours downstream."

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  13. 5. velj

    Let’s hope this is true—for China and humanity’s sake.

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  14. 4. velj

    If Trump meets William Lai this week, then it would certainly be significant. But not as significant if Lai were Vice President of Taiwan. He's currently VP-elect. Indeed, Trump may find it kosher to meet Lai now because it's less likely to irk Beijing.

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  15. 4. velj

    “A careful deliberation of these matters must be taken into account before finally arriving at a decision which will ultimately affect not only the security & economy of the Philippines but also that of our neighboring countries in the Asia Pacific region.”

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  16. 4. velj

    Confused about who may be attending the US-ASEAN Summit on March 14th in Las Vegas? Well so far Vietnam, Cambodia, Thailand, Laos, & Singapore are in. Philippines is out. Waiting to hear back from the rest, but coronavirus may force cancellation anyway.

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  17. 4. velj

    On 90th anniversary of CPV founding, I reread some early Party history. What stands out is Ho Chi Minh intimately tied to CCP. He fomented socialist revolution in China, trained CCP forces, & China was safehaven for pre-CPV. No wonder ties so close today.

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  18. proslijedio/la je Tweet
    3. velj

    Beijing has never looked emptier to me. Pictured: subway line 10 on a Monday morning.

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  19. proslijedio/la je Tweet

    Crucial point about from : "The NDS prioritizes China first and Russia second in this era of great-power competition."

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  20. 3. velj

    Tsai’s former premier & VP-elect, William Lai, heading to DC for mtgs with US officials. Lai previously proclaimed himself to be a “pro-independence worker” for Taiwan & probably has a good shot to become president in 2024. Beijing watching closely.

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  21. 3. velj

    It’s a good question and the situation is worth monitoring in the coming weeks.

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