Skip to content
By using Twitter’s services you agree to our Cookies Use. We and our partners operate globally and use cookies, including for analytics, personalisation, and ads.

This is the legacy version of twitter.com. We will be shutting it down on June 1, 2020. Please switch to a supported browser, or disable the extension which masks your browser. You can see a list of supported browsers in our Help Center.

  • Home Home Home, current page.
  • About

Saved searches

  • Remove
  • In this conversation
    Verified accountProtected Tweets @
Suggested users
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Language: English
    • Bahasa Indonesia
    • Bahasa Melayu
    • Català
    • Čeština
    • Dansk
    • Deutsch
    • English UK
    • Español
    • Filipino
    • Français
    • Hrvatski
    • Italiano
    • Magyar
    • Nederlands
    • Norsk
    • Polski
    • Português
    • Română
    • Slovenčina
    • Suomi
    • Svenska
    • Tiếng Việt
    • Türkçe
    • Ελληνικά
    • Български език
    • Русский
    • Српски
    • Українська мова
    • עִבְרִית
    • العربية
    • فارسی
    • मराठी
    • हिन्दी
    • বাংলা
    • ગુજરાતી
    • தமிழ்
    • ಕನ್ನಡ
    • ภาษาไทย
    • 한국어
    • 日本語
    • 简体中文
    • 繁體中文
  • Have an account? Log in
    Have an account?
    · Forgot password?

    New to Twitter?
    Sign up
DegenRolf's profile
Rolf Degen
Rolf Degen
Rolf Degen
@DegenRolf

Tweets

Rolf Degen

@DegenRolf

Science writer and book author in psychology, neuroscience and evolution

bonn
amazon.com/Rolf-Degen/e/B…
Joined July 2013

Tweets

  • © 2020 Twitter
  • About
  • Help Center
  • Terms
  • Privacy policy
  • Imprint
  • Cookies
  • Ads info
Dismiss
Previous
Next

Go to a person's profile

Saved searches

  • Remove
  • In this conversation
    Verified accountProtected Tweets @
Suggested users
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @
  • Verified accountProtected Tweets @

Promote this Tweet

Block

  • Tweet with a location

    You can add location information to your Tweets, such as your city or precise location, from the web and via third-party applications. You always have the option to delete your Tweet location history. Learn more

    Your lists

    Create a new list


    Under 100 characters, optional

    Privacy

    Copy link to Tweet

    Embed this Tweet

    Embed this Video

    Add this Tweet to your website by copying the code below. Learn more

    Add this video to your website by copying the code below. Learn more

    Hmm, there was a problem reaching the server.

    By embedding Twitter content in your website or app, you are agreeing to the Twitter Developer Agreement and Developer Policy.

    Preview

    Why you're seeing this ad

    Log in to Twitter

    · Forgot password?
    Don't have an account? Sign up »

    Sign up for Twitter

    Not on Twitter? Sign up, tune into the things you care about, and get updates as they happen.

    Sign up
    Have an account? Log in »

    Two-way (sending and receiving) short codes:

    Country Code For customers of
    United States 40404 (any)
    Canada 21212 (any)
    United Kingdom 86444 Vodafone, Orange, 3, O2
    Brazil 40404 Nextel, TIM
    Haiti 40404 Digicel, Voila
    Ireland 51210 Vodafone, O2
    India 53000 Bharti Airtel, Videocon, Reliance
    Indonesia 89887 AXIS, 3, Telkomsel, Indosat, XL Axiata
    Italy 4880804 Wind
    3424486444 Vodafone
    » See SMS short codes for other countries

    Confirmation

     

    Welcome home!

    This timeline is where you’ll spend most of your time, getting instant updates about what matters to you.

    Tweets not working for you?

    Hover over the profile pic and click the Following button to unfollow any account.

    Say a lot with a little

    When you see a Tweet you love, tap the heart — it lets the person who wrote it know you shared the love.

    Spread the word

    The fastest way to share someone else’s Tweet with your followers is with a Retweet. Tap the icon to send it instantly.

    Join the conversation

    Add your thoughts about any Tweet with a Reply. Find a topic you’re passionate about, and jump right in.

    Learn the latest

    Get instant insight into what people are talking about now.

    Get more of what you love

    Follow more accounts to get instant updates about topics you care about.

    Find what's happening

    See the latest conversations about any topic instantly.

    Never miss a Moment

    Catch up instantly on the best stories happening as they unfold.

    Rolf Degen‏ @DegenRolf 24 Feb 2018
    • Report Tweet
    • Report NetzDG Violation

    Luck is all you need: Paper argues that common thinking and performance statistics belittle the weight of randomness in life success. https://arxiv.org/abs/1802.07068 pic.twitter.com/jet78Usixt

    12:17 AM - 24 Feb 2018
    • 79 Retweets
    • 193 Likes
    • axisofevola programmatic Ronen▼.gif Atascadero Ridgevie Allison Youngblood Gino Baltazar [REDACTED] Dylan booksmartb
    14 replies 79 retweets 193 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Luca Dellanna‏ @DellAnnaLuca 24 Feb 2018
        • Report Tweet
        • Report NetzDG Violation
        Replying to @DegenRolf

        The passage from a Gaussian distribution of talent to a power-law distribution of outcomes is explained by network effects, demand/scarcity influence on pricing of non-commodities & other nonlinearities that cause every inch of talent to be extremely > valuable than the previous.

        2 replies 0 retweets 7 likes
      3. Luca Dellanna‏ @DellAnnaLuca 24 Feb 2018
        • Report Tweet
        • Report NetzDG Violation
        Replying to @DellAnnaLuca @DegenRolf

        cc:@alexpluchino, @A_Rapis

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Justin‏ @xclu 24 Feb 2018
        • Report Tweet
        • Report NetzDG Violation
        Replying to @DegenRolf @ori

        What about that long-term Harvard study of their graduates? IIRC the most important advice was to not become an alcoholic... and presumably graduate from Harvard.

        1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      3. Ori Neidich‏ @ori 24 Feb 2018
        • Report Tweet
        • Report NetzDG Violation
        Replying to @xclu @DegenRolf

        The key finding of that longitudinal study was that happiness stemmed from close social bonds over your lifetime. In terms of financial success the study was less proscriptive IIRC.

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
      4. End of conversation
      1. Slothrop‏ @Slothrop 24 Feb 2018
        • Report Tweet
        • Report NetzDG Violation

        No reason to reconcile it.

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo
        Undo
      1. Tracy Mehoke stays home #votebymail‏ @tracymehoke 25 Feb 2018
        • Report Tweet
        • Report NetzDG Violation
        Replying to @DegenRolf

        Hm. Curious to read and see what traits the "talented" people were considered to have and what traits might have gone unconsidered.

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo
        Undo
      1. New conversation
      2. Drago Indjic/Инђић‏ @dindjic 24 Feb 2018
        • Report Tweet
        • Report NetzDG Violation
        Replying to @DegenRolf

        should have been submitted to Stats, not Physics @arxivblog

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. 𝔊𝔴𝔢𝔯𝔫‏ @gwern 24 Feb 2018
        • Report Tweet
        • Report NetzDG Violation
        Replying to @dindjic @DegenRolf @arxivblog

        They would be less than impressed there. This is the most complicated and obtuse way of modeling a log-normal distribution & looking at cutoffs I've ever seen (comes out of their defining each event as multiplicative) and adds nothing to previous cliometrics or expertise work.

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      4. End of conversation
      1. ⬡ Jens Wiechers‏ @jwiechers 24 Feb 2018
        • Report Tweet
        • Report NetzDG Violation
        Replying to @DegenRolf

        That sounds like a very interesting study. :) Why would the result they found be counterintuitive (last sentence), though?

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo
        Undo
      1. Glenn Sullivan‏ @clinpsychbook 24 Feb 2018
        • Report Tweet
        • Report NetzDG Violation
        Replying to @antimule @DegenRolf

        For a high IQ, be sure to choose your grandparents very carefully.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. Undo
        Undo

    Loading seems to be taking a while.

    Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.

      Promoted Tweet

      false

      • © 2020 Twitter
      • About
      • Help Center
      • Terms
      • Privacy policy
      • Imprint
      • Cookies
      • Ads info