This jibes with a recent meta-analysis, showing that the effects of political campaigns on voting decisions are virtually zero:https://twitter.com/DegenRolf/status/964163240380063747 …
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This jibes with a recent meta-analysis, showing that the effects of political campaigns on voting decisions are virtually zero:https://twitter.com/DegenRolf/status/964163240380063747 …
Does the paper include the early beer hall speaches or just the big megaphone ones?
"Our empirical analysis covers the period between the repeal of the speaking ban on Hitler in Bavaria on March 6, 1927 and the last (halfway) competitive Reichstag election on March 5, 1933."
That's a good point but also the times and situation matter immensely - eg. shackled by Treaty of Versailles + Weimar Republic lead to the original "Hope and Change" speech/es, which are upbeat in nature are going to be more accepted / resonate.
So, did it sway voter turnout? Even if it didn’t sway their choice of candidate? The reason I ask is because there is alot of talk about driving your voters out to the polls in American elections (since voting isn’t mandatory), and this might shed light on whether that’s the key.
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