School districts in states that required union membership are 25 percentage points less likely to reopen schools in-person this fall.
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BREAKING: School reopenings are linked to union influence and politics, not safety.
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38% of school districts in Right to Work states are planning to reopen in-person Only 13% of school districts in unionized states are planning to do the same.
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School districts in states with stronger teachers unions are also significantly less likely to reopen in-person this fall 73% of school districts in Florida are planning to reopen in-person Only 4% are planning to do so in California, a state with much stronger teachers unions.
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But school district reopenings are not statistically related to Covid-19 cases or deaths per capita. This finding was also highlighted by Jon Valant at Brookings Institution:https://www.brookings.edu/blog/brown-center-chalkboard/2020/07/29/school-reopening-plans-linked-to-politics-rather-than-public-health/ …
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The reopening decisions are statistically related to politics. As Jon Valant found, the higher percentage of Trump voters in the area, the higher the likelihood of school districts reopening in-person this fall.
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Here are the results from the analysis School districts in unionized states are substantially less likely to reopen in-person. Cases and deaths per capita aren't statistically related to reopening.pic.twitter.com/8d5cejwwGR
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Here are the results for teachers union strength School districts in states with stronger teachers unions are significantly less likely to reopen in-person. Again, no relationship between Covid-19 cases and deaths per capita and school district reopening decisions.pic.twitter.com/a02M57exeX
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Here's my latest article highlighting these new findings at
@Reason "School Reopenings Linked to Union Influence and Politics, Not Safety"https://reason.com/2020/08/19/school-reopenings-linked-to-union-influence-and-politics-not-safety/ …Show this thread
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We figured that out.
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it should have said BREAKING /s
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