At the very least, the 5% growth cap is going to need looked at?
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Replying to @dsquareddigest
Either they scrap it and history will taught in about six places next year or they don't scrap it the same six universities end up having to pay a LOT of fines/convince a lot of students to go elsewhere/defer.
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Replying to @lottelydia
I know nothing about this, but would it be the worst thing in the world to simultaneously consolidate the sector and make it less selective? (Do I understand right that's what "history would be taught in about six places"?
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Replying to @dsquareddigest
Dan are you asking if I think it would be “the worst thing in the world” for hundreds of historians, my friends and colleagues, to lose the jobs they spent a decade training to do
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Replying to @lottelydia
I don't understand this then - the actual end user demand hasn't changed so why would the labour requirement? Those six centres would need to employ all your friends so the historians would get a new name on the CV, substantially the same job?
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Replying to @lottelydia @dsquareddigest
When a history dept expands student numbers, it doesn't hire more permanent staff! It just makes people do more teaching and tells them they're lucky they have a job. It might hire some of the hundreds of out-of-work recently finished PhDs on 9 month, 0.6 contracts for seminars.
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Replying to @lottelydia
This massive sector wide crisis might be an opportunity to revisit assumptions like that! If the top institutions are contractually obliged to teach 50% more students, it's suddenly a tight market for skilled labour
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Replying to @dsquareddigest
so your response to me saying 'my sector exploits its staff' is to say 'maybe in a crisis it will stop exploiting its staff', is it
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Replying to @lottelydia
I mean I do know quite a bit about labour markets; this is a far-out-of-equilibrium shock, so no I don't think that evidence of what they've done in equilibrium is necessarily indicative. The "squeeze a little more" tactics can't be used for a big sudden jump in demand.
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Yeah, I agree that since the government is now under a huge amount of scrutiny over this crisis, this is probably the most likely time in years to actually get funding commitments on staffing. Dan wasn’t remotely dismissing this?
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