What could possibly go wrong? =>https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/994176238846664706 …
My range is 15 - 22, based on most recent reporting. But again, that's only "if election were held today." My range changes constantly w/ fresh data.
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of course, it has to. but the GOP has 241 now, needs 218 to keep control. that's 23. so even using your high end, the GOP keeps control right now, that's what you're saying
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Yeah, that's more or less where I'm at. I say 50/50 but IOW I'm not sold on a flip yet.
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I have no problem believing that the GOP could lose 20 seats in the House while gaining 4 or 5 in the Senate. That would be a huge defeat for the Dems though
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If they don't win the House, it will be a huge defeat. Even if they pick up 22 seats. ... Of course, when you literally need every single House GOP vote to form a majority, well, that will be something watch.
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bottom line (to me) is that the Dems have to deliver a win at some point to keep their donors giving, and I don't see where that comes from if they don't take the House.
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On this you're overstating. Their donors will pour money into the presidential race. Dem energy is real. Not winning House could cost current leaders but party will role into the next fight, eventually lead by a new nominee that they probably like quite a bit.
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there are other races between 2018 the Presidential race though. You think having no hope of taking the Senate in 2020 is going to help Senate fundraising that year? I don't
End of conversation
New conversation -
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so i guess the question is, why would Trump have a worse view of House prospects than you do?
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