What could possibly go wrong? =>https://twitter.com/realDonaldTrump/status/994176238846664706 …
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I don't doubt the GOP will lose seats in the House, but they could lose 15 and still keep control. People who were saying they GOP would lose 50 seats 3 or 4 months ago look like morons right now
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It depends on how ironclad the predictions were. I look at a moment in time and say: "If election was today, then..." I keep doing that over and over. Today looks better than 3-4 months ago. So my analysis is different today than then.
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I have seen people who predict elections for a living say on here that the GOP would lose more than 40 seats this fall. that's up to them to say but it certainly doesn't look that way right now. At the moment I think between 10 and 20
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My range is 15 - 22, based on most recent reporting. But again, that's only "if election were held today." My range changes constantly w/ fresh data.
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of course, it has to. but the GOP has 241 now, needs 218 to keep control. that's 23. so even using your high end, the GOP keeps control right now, that's what you're saying
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Yeah, that's more or less where I'm at. I say 50/50 but IOW I'm not sold on a flip yet.
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I have no problem believing that the GOP could lose 20 seats in the House while gaining 4 or 5 in the Senate. That would be a huge defeat for the Dems though
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If they don't win the House, it will be a huge defeat. Even if they pick up 22 seats. ... Of course, when you literally need every single House GOP vote to form a majority, well, that will be something watch.
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