he has every reason to be confident since the entire Dem platform at this point is "we're going to raise taxes in 2019"
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He has "some" reason to be confident. Not every. But these things are debatable.
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the only thing working against Trump right now, and obv things change, is the historical trend that works against the incumbent during the first mid-term. Dem party is in the toilet and his popularity is on the rise, economic numbers are rising too, etc
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I don't doubt the GOP will lose seats in the House, but they could lose 15 and still keep control. People who were saying they GOP would lose 50 seats 3 or 4 months ago look like morons right now
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It depends on how ironclad the predictions were. I look at a moment in time and say: "If election was today, then..." I keep doing that over and over. Today looks better than 3-4 months ago. So my analysis is different today than then.
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I have seen people who predict elections for a living say on here that the GOP would lose more than 40 seats this fall. that's up to them to say but it certainly doesn't look that way right now. At the moment I think between 10 and 20
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My range is 15 - 22, based on most recent reporting. But again, that's only "if election were held today." My range changes constantly w/ fresh data.
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-turnout is higher for gop than dems in almost every race despite blue wave narrative
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Last night. Not every race.
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That’s why I said almost. I think the Pelosi see comment is way under reported
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Everyone reported it.
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You seem to be downplaying it I think it’s a Strange thing for her to say and a gift to republicans?
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Republicans don’t turn out in November to vote?
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Its coming wait for it
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Republicans had a damn good day when you consider: - Pelosi starts the day off on live television that dems want to raise taxes (very under reported) -trump kills Iran deal -blankship loses and avoid a roy Moore situation -Pompeo comes home with 3 hostages from nk
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