This is the Republicans' dilemma. They want to run on the economy, & even at an event held specifically to promote tax reform, Trump turns it into all immigration all the time...
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...Now the counter will be: How do you think he won? And the answer is: An immigration riff won't help the GOP hold the districts that could cost the GOP its majority (the red districts that like this message are presumably safe.)...
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...It's about emphasis. I'm not arguing POTUS' immigration policies are a problem. I am arguing that his emphasis on immigration, over the economy, plus his tone, won't help, & probably hurt, where the House is being contested...
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...Note, still the potential for Trump's base-centric message to help the GOP win Senate races. But the map is already in their favor. Trump is ALREADY popular in these states. Base politics aren't that necessary. -fin-
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Replying to @DavidMDrucker
Immigration outside of New York City and DC is a winner. Even people who don't compete with immigrants for housing or wages don't want open borders, drug trafficking, or to pay for the social security and health costs of illegals.
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Replying to @MatthewMGlynn
1) Difference tween border security message and anti-immigrant tone. 2) Border security has broader appeal than "The Snake." It's simply not true that this is a winner EVERYWHERE except the Acela Corridor. Where the House is being contested, economic mssg would go further
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Replying to @DavidMDrucker
Give me a second and I'll find it, but Trump is actually going backwards with downscale Rs, and Independents, not wealthier Rs & independents. More populism not less is needed. One side of the Coalition got their tax cuts, it's the other side that's disappointed and let down.
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Replying to @MatthewMGlynn
I'm not necessarily disputing. But I'm talking about how these votes are distributed. (It's why I noted this is not a problem & could help in Senate races.) Where populism is "needed" to buck up the base, Rs will win anyway. That's my contention. We'll find out either way.
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Replying to @DavidMDrucker
Fair enough. I just think upper-scale conservative white suburbs are more open to immigration cultural appeals than others think, even conservative women. Crime, School Makeups etc. There's a reason white flight was a thing with this demo.
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Fair enough back at ya. I think that's more a product of a past generation, don't agree (as you can tell.) But you argue well and your case is well thought out. Good discussion.
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