This is the Republicans' dilemma. They want to run on the economy, & even at an event held specifically to promote tax reform, Trump turns it into all immigration all the time...
That's not true. Educated, upscale suburban districts that helped elect Trump president wants to hear about this. They don't hold your views on culture, immigration, etc. It's an issue in House races, though might be less so in Senate races given the map.
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I live in an elite suburban district. I meet Senators and Congressmen with small groups all the time. More people than you think hold my views on culture and immigration. The views of the large donors don't represent the views of the upscale districts you are referring to
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23 districts voted for Hillary - and in 2017 off year elections more suburban erosion. These are things that happened, otherwise I might agree w/ you on the politics of it.
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Here's what I've learned: The fat cat donors never, ever have their pulse on the issues that matter. Never ever. In fact, only one fat cat ever really understood the issues that matter... and he's now the President of the United States
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What matters and what works are two different things. You won't get an argument from me that donors are often clueless about real politics.
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Here's what I'm saying - the GOPe message about growth and taxes doesn't work. In a few districts? Sure. In states, no. Get someone with a 'nice' personality, but Trump's message and guaranteed winner. That's why it sucks so much that Josh Mandel dropped out. That race was 100%.
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I think you're right about presidential elections as a general rule (Romney proved that) and you argue well. My analysis is focused on this midterm, under these conditions, where btw Trump isn't on ballot.
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I hear ya. But the House is very gerrymandered and the Senate map is so favorable to the GOP (again, just so sad Mandel dropped out) that I think a Trumpian GOP will be fine. I might think Paul Ryan and Co. are trying to lose on purpose. But Trump is herculean and will help
End of conversation
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It's not a culture issue. It's a debt and deficit issue. Selling it to them where it affects them. Rich suburban whites are already on the line for a white underclass to support, they don't need to import a new underclass to subsidise.
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The 'white underclass' ain't where the tax dollars are going, buddy. Nice try though. It can be presented to dimwitted fatcats as a debt and deficit issue, but those at the very, very top, if they don't get it yet, they almost never will.
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I'm not here to debate where money, is or isn't going. I'm simply talking about messaging. More poor people with democratic claims for redistribution isn't appealing to well-off voters.
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You can make the argument to fat cats that eventually we will need higher taxes and higher govt. spending to pay for the third world invasion. But these donors are like southern plantation owners in 1859 - they can't see over the horizon or are too historically/morally illiterate
End of conversation
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