We didn’t need PA-18 to know there could be 100 (or more?) GOP-held Congressional seats in play in November 2018. We had the evidence a year ago:https://twitter.com/DanaHoule/status/850504667184365568?s=20 …
Ironic that Rs held the 1 point Trump district but lost the 20 pt Trump district.
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The NRCC panicked in KS-4 and MT-AL earlier than Dems saw their opportunities. Ironically, I think NRCC and CLF are very competent this cycle. They just have a terrible hand to play.
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Nobody saw KS-04 until 10 days or so before the election. There’s no precedent from at least the last +40 years to think it might have been close. And Thompson was not a candidate likely to have been able to sieze the chance (& Quist definitely wasn’t).
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Thompson was solid! Quist had real strengths and real weaknesses, and the GOP defined him before he had the money to fight back. But after the women's march, KS-4 became foreseeable.
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There were a lot of anti war marches in 2002-2004.
End of conversation
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