...3) Candidates matter. Even in races it would seem a party can't lose - they can lose if voters deem the nominee too flawed. 4) Presidential transference to a candidate is difficult. AL Republicans like Trump, but enough of them rejected Strange & then Moore...
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...5) Worst place for a political party to be is the spot where it believes it simply can't lose (see 2010, see 2016, see
#ALSEN) In 2010, Ds believed Obama's magic would save them. Currently, many Rs believe 2016 was a permanent pivot. Uh, NO. ...Show this thread -
...6) On polling. Prob isn't polls, it's the analysis (h/t
@SeanTrende.) Moore's final RCP average advantage = 2.2 points. That's MOE. Means Jones' 1.5 win was possible. But analysts tend to discount & say polling was off. It wasn't necessarily (nor was it in 2016) -fin-Show this thread
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This is why we love David. "I predicted pretty confidently he would win. So crow for breakfast." No hesitation. No equivocation. He even draws attention to the magnitude of his error ("pretty confidently") then owns it. With humor. THAT'S HOW IT'S DONE, LADIES & GENTS!!!

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Did you lose faith in Americans or put too much faith in polls?
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