If holds, a problem for Repubs hoping to pickup Senate seats + Trump if he doesn't run for re-elex against a Hillary Clinton-esque Dem =>https://twitter.com/mmurraypolitics/status/899254712435978241 …
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Replying to @DavidMDrucker
registered voters is kind of meaningless. i would like to see what it is among likely voters
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Replying to @JasonHornbuckle
Nothing wrong w/ skepticism, registered this far out is preferable to Likely. Likely better a year from now.
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Replying to @DavidMDrucker
if you were using registered Trump wouldnt have won Michigan in 2016 either though. Enthusiasm matters
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Replying to @JasonHornbuckle
Right. This is about a snapshot in time. & my point is that at this point in time, more than year before 2018 elex, RVs is good gauge
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Replying to @DavidMDrucker
my experience has been that media outlets quote the one that backs the story they want to tell. i bet LV looks better for Trump
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Replying to @JasonHornbuckle
Now we disagree. We don't manipulate the polling. Data is what it is & it was pretty accurate last year. Problem was faulty analysis.
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Replying to @DavidMDrucker
if you're saying "the media" doesn't manipulate every story by choosing what parts of it to tell, i dont know what to say to that. they do
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Replying to @JasonHornbuckle
Let's avoid rabbit hole. I have long conceded bias issues & understand why suspicious. But thats' different from manipulation of every story
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Replying to @DavidMDrucker
manipulation was your word. i said they quote the one that supports their story. call that bias if you want
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Marist probably didn't do an LV screen this far out. You're assuming they did, didn't like it because better for Trump, & ignored.
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Replying to @DavidMDrucker
if LV showed Trump 20pts worse, they magically would have done one
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