If holds, a problem for Repubs hoping to pickup Senate seats + Trump if he doesn't run for re-elex against a Hillary Clinton-esque Dem =>https://twitter.com/mmurraypolitics/status/899254712435978241 …
Now we disagree. We don't manipulate the polling. Data is what it is & it was pretty accurate last year. Problem was faulty analysis.
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if you're saying "the media" doesn't manipulate every story by choosing what parts of it to tell, i dont know what to say to that. they do
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Let's avoid rabbit hole. I have long conceded bias issues & understand why suspicious. But thats' different from manipulation of every story
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for instance, in this NBC/Marist poll, less than 50% of RV in all 3 states want Dems to win control of Congress next year. is that headline?
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Not the bigger headline than POTUS
#s & not a headline since their # are better than Generic Rs. Plus that # is always below 50. -
Congress comes up for election alot sooner than POTUS does so POTUS # being more important is very debatable to me
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His approval has big impact on midterms. Was same for Obama in 2010 & 2014.
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Congress's approval in this poll is 10%. might that not also have a big impact on midterms? or even a bigger impact?
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Not w/ safe seats because of how lines are drawn. Could impact battleground seats, though, definitely. But POTUS still impactful.
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there is always a gap btwn RV & LV, & any time you quote 1 over the other its for a reason. Quote both together if not
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Simply not true. Many pollsters don't trust LV (many do.) Good pollsters each side. Many pollsters don't do LV screens this far out.
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because they're already talking to the people and it would cost too much to ask them 1 more question? be serious
End of conversation
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