registered voters is kind of meaningless. i would like to see what it is among likely voters
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Nothing wrong w/ skepticism, registered this far out is preferable to Likely. Likely better a year from now.
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if you were using registered Trump wouldnt have won Michigan in 2016 either though. Enthusiasm matters
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Right. This is about a snapshot in time. & my point is that at this point in time, more than year before 2018 elex, RVs is good gauge
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my experience has been that media outlets quote the one that backs the story they want to tell. i bet LV looks better for Trump
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Now we disagree. We don't manipulate the polling. Data is what it is & it was pretty accurate last year. Problem was faulty analysis.
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if you're saying "the media" doesn't manipulate every story by choosing what parts of it to tell, i dont know what to say to that. they do
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Let's avoid rabbit hole. I have long conceded bias issues & understand why suspicious. But thats' different from manipulation of every story
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David - in all honestly, you've seen his twitter feeds and how he did in the 3026 election. Do you actually believe Mark Murray polls??
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I'm naturally skeptical of all polling. Marist is solid enough. It's a snapshot in time that is not out of whack w/ other polls.
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Murray is a propagandist. It's not that Trump couldn't drop - he could - but those ratings in Midwest are 100% fake
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That's ridiculous, unless it's also 100% fake that he is still very popular among Republicans.
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Murray is propagandist. Before election I told you PPD was accurate and that Tump would win Midwest. These aren't polls. This is propaganda
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((sigh)) I've written extensively not to misinterpret polling as relates to Trump. But they are not made up. Got nothing else for you.
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All I can point to is to say in 2016, people like me were right and the pollsters were stunningly, stunningly wrong
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My take on 2016: Polls largely correct. It was the analysts interpreting polls that were wrong. FL example No. 1. Granted few share my take
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This depends on if Republicans are blamed for Trump or not.
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I feel like since 2014 I've never seen a poll with a democrat not up by 5 or too close to call. I'm sorry, I don't believe polls anymore
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I think I will wait to see Selena Zito's in the field reporting on these voters' moods.
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Trump is toast in MI. There is quite a difference from November. The poll captures it pretty well here on the ground.
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