It means more respondents were ID'ing as Ds than Rs, this tends to happen, both ways, depending on how Prez is perceived.
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Nah, Gallup has a D+9-10 sample. Ask
@peoples_pundit, he has him at 45% and Rich was most accurate pollster last year!!!2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes -
Replying to @ChrisRudy2018 @DanRiehl and
I can buy that he's at 45%. But the oversample issue is not an issue per se.
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We had him at 44% last round. Of course if I had to guess, there's probably a decline in his future given the Jr. coverage. Fair or not.
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44% (or 45%) make sense to me. Gallup's been on low end, sometimes I think Ras is on high end.
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Replying to @DavidMDrucker @Peoples_Pundit and
Rasmussen was also quite good last year.
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Replying to @ChrisRudy2018 @Peoples_Pundit and
Lots of polls were good in ways. The FL polls were all good, the nat'l polls were accurate in terms of popular vote. Problem was analysis
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Replying to @DavidMDrucker @Peoples_Pundit and
Quinnipiac had Clinton ahead by 4 in FL. NBC by 2.
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Replying to @ChrisRudy2018 @Peoples_Pundit and
Other FL polls (can't remember which) had Trump up and the averages showed pure tossup. 538 pegged FL perfectly, actually.
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Replying to @DavidMDrucker @Peoples_Pundit and
Nate Silver lost all his credibility last year.
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I have to run & write but my main point is this: Polls largely correct, contrary to popular opinion. Problem was how analysts interpreted
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Replying to @DavidMDrucker @Peoples_Pundit and
U just need to know, which pollster u can trust.
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