I'm guessing a 1996 fifteen point deficit = a 2016 eight point deficit.https://twitter.com/seantrende/status/767886419721355264 …
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IOW, have races been closer because of polarization, or because we haven't had 7% growth like Reagan had in 84?
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I was making a qualitative argument about psychology - that 8 pots would cause same freakout that 15 caused 20 years ago...
End of conversation
New conversation -
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Right -- the problem is that if something fundamental has changed, models from the 80s shouldn't still work.
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