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DavidMDrucker's profile
David M. Drucker
David M. Drucker
David M. Drucker
Verified account
@DavidMDrucker

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David M. DruckerVerified account

@DavidMDrucker

@dcexaminer Senior Political Correspondent, @CNN Political Analyst & contributing writer, @VanityFair's @VFHIVE

Washington, D.C.
washingtonexaminer.com
Joined January 2010

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    David M. Drucker‏Verified account @DavidMDrucker 12 Aug 2016

    Basically, the polls tend to get the trends right. History of averages since 2004 is quite good 4 big races:http://washex.am/2aQ0Agz 

    4:25 AM - 12 Aug 2016
    • 27 Retweets
    • 11 Likes
    • Paolo Polledri mike sax PhillyDemMPA valerie Lobby Boy Daniel Reichwald Lesley Edwards LucyPevensie Ex-GOP A Bot Me Is
    18 replies 27 retweets 11 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Jeffrey L. Shurtliff‏ @shurtcircuit 12 Aug 2016
        Replying to @DavidMDrucker

        Then why does Trump have thousands more attending his rallies than Clinton? #riggedsystem

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. David M. Drucker‏Verified account @DavidMDrucker 12 Aug 2016
        Replying to @shurtcircuit

        Because he does. Means nothing in terms of overall voter support.

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      4. Jeffrey L. Shurtliff‏ @shurtcircuit 12 Aug 2016
        Replying to @DavidMDrucker

        Of course it does. There is a silent majority and you are seeing it

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      5. David M. Drucker‏Verified account @DavidMDrucker 12 Aug 2016
        Replying to @shurtcircuit

        If I'm seeing it then it's not silent.

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      6. Jeffrey L. Shurtliff‏ @shurtcircuit 12 Aug 2016
        Replying to @DavidMDrucker

        It is the #media your are listening to. They have always elected our President. We are becoming a #BannanaRepublic

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      7. David M. Drucker‏Verified account @DavidMDrucker 12 Aug 2016
        Replying to @shurtcircuit

        We disagree. But appreciate your thoughts.

        0 replies 1 retweet 1 like
      8. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. dcg1114‏ @dcg1114 12 Aug 2016
        Replying to @DavidMDrucker @SeanTrende

        (2)4 times since '68 there have been 5 pt shifts late not attributable to bad polling. '68, '76,'80. '00. cf '96

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. David M. Drucker‏Verified account @DavidMDrucker 12 Aug 2016
        Replying to @dcg1114 @SeanTrende

        Polling and data so much more advanced. My point isn't that the race can't/won't shift, it's that polling will catch it

        3 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      4. dcg1114‏ @dcg1114 12 Aug 2016
        Replying to @DavidMDrucker @SeanTrende

        (2) Larger point: events create volatility, not polling error. Historically events happen more frequently late.

        2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      5. David M. Drucker‏Verified account @DavidMDrucker 12 Aug 2016
        Replying to @dcg1114 @SeanTrende

        Averages smooth out the volatility. Check the GOP primary - they got the trends right. Trump won. If anything, it's...

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      6. dcg1114‏ @dcg1114 12 Aug 2016
        Replying to @DavidMDrucker @SeanTrende

        You are conflating polling error with late shifts because of real change in opinion. You don't get it.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      7. David M. Drucker‏Verified account @DavidMDrucker 12 Aug 2016
        Replying to @dcg1114 @SeanTrende

        I get it, we just disagree on how to interpret things. But You make me think, appreciate the critical feedback.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      8. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. David M. Drucker‏Verified account @DavidMDrucker 13 Aug 2016
        Replying to @BitterClinger08 @billpostmus

        The pollsters know how to account for voters like you & they do.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. Tweet unavailable
      4. David M. Drucker‏Verified account @DavidMDrucker 13 Aug 2016
        Replying to @BitterClinger08 @billpostmus

        ...The record shows otherwise - that's my point. But appreciate your thoughts.

        2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      5. Tweet unavailable
      6. David M. Drucker‏Verified account @DavidMDrucker 13 Aug 2016
        Replying to @BitterClinger08 @billpostmus

        Yes, the media is tougher on Rs than Ds. Bias exists. But that's always been case & Rs still find way to win..

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      7. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Donald Kanye‏ @StraightHand 12 Aug 2016
        Replying to @DavidMDrucker

        long way to go. Trump could win!

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. David M. Drucker‏Verified account @DavidMDrucker 12 Aug 2016
        Replying to @StraightHand

        Not that long...But yes, he could win.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      4. Donald Kanye‏ @StraightHand 12 Aug 2016
        Replying to @DavidMDrucker

        debates/ events could change things. We'll see!

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      5. David M. Drucker‏Verified account @DavidMDrucker 12 Aug 2016
        Replying to @StraightHand

        Agreed.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      6. End of conversation

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