There will be much movement post IA & NH votes.https://twitter.com/sinderbrand/status/663763096792465412 …
@JohnSmith112221 The DMR/Selzer had Carson up 8. That's one to trust the most. PPP has questionable record in GOP primaries.
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@DavidMDrucker Gravis had Trump up 8 after that. -
@JohnSmith112221 I don't trust Gravis. But I'm not knocking that he's in the lead. I go w/ the averages. He leads the average... -
@DavidMDrucker True, I'd rather take the average as well. Polling is FUBAR these days, look at Bevin 14 point miss. -
@JohnSmith112221 True. Then again, it was on the money in 2012. Hard to gauge. -
Was RCP as exclusive in 2012? Even 538 has recognized that some internet polling can be as valid as phone. Moving trend.
@DavidMDrucker -
@JohnSmith112221 Yes..Don't think we necessarily disagree. My main argument is against conspiracies. Data isn't right only when we like it -
I'd agree there. I also step back and see what makes sense. Dramatic # shifts are goofy when nothing has happened. Such as SC
@DavidMDrucker -
@JohnSmith112221 Let's end it on an agreeable note :) - 1 more reply
New conversation -
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