@DavidMDrucker Monmouth is a disaster. They had Carson up by 14 in Iowa. PPP had Trump up 1. Funny stuff.
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@JohnSmith112221 The DMR/Selzer had Carson up 8. That's one to trust the most. PPP has questionable record in GOP primaries. -
@DavidMDrucker Gravis had Trump up 8 after that. -
@JohnSmith112221 I don't trust Gravis. But I'm not knocking that he's in the lead. I go w/ the averages. He leads the average... -
@DavidMDrucker True, I'd rather take the average as well. Polling is FUBAR these days, look at Bevin 14 point miss. -
@JohnSmith112221 True. Then again, it was on the money in 2012. Hard to gauge. -
Was RCP as exclusive in 2012? Even 538 has recognized that some internet polling can be as valid as phone. Moving trend.
@DavidMDrucker -
@JohnSmith112221 Yes..Don't think we necessarily disagree. My main argument is against conspiracies. Data isn't right only when we like it - 3 more replies
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@DavidMDrucker@NoahCRothman Does anyone believe this? They're really flocking to Uncle Ben? No, it's a hoax to deflate DT's buoyancy. -
@ComeRetribution
@NoahCRothman Polls are sometimes wrong. The notion that a reputable pollster is perpetrating a hoax is not credible. -
WaPo did that to Reagan in CA. Literally skewed poll intentionally. Admitted it to Ed Rollins
@DavidMDrucker @ComeRetribution@NoahCRothman -
@JohnSmith112221 @ComeRetribution@NoahCRothman And now we have polling averages from a million polls. Go w/ the averages. -
Small size media polls have been goofy. RCP is bad. HuffPo best re averages.
@DavidMDrucker @ComeRetribution@NoahCRothman -
@JohnSmith112221 @ComeRetribution@NoahCRothman RCP has a history of reliability.
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