that's this thing above waves that everyone gets wrong when you win more than your share of close ones, it's a wave and you can't tell until the day after also in looking for a purported Kavanaugh effect, don't miss millennial and latinx voting enthusiasm up
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I saw that and it matters - but it also matters in what districts they’re voting in. I’d like to see district polls in seats that matter w/ this effect
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however, partisans always come home at the end, so what is a Kav effect and what is normal is impossible to know. I know what Rs say, but I am disinclined to believe them w/o data.

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Partisans might always come home but they don’t always show up.
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ah!!!! the day after discussion!
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Yeah, but I expect you people to read the future!
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Nah, this is becoming conventional wisdom without facts. Democrats will surprise by HOW FEW seats they win. My prediction, less than 10. Maybe 5.
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I'd love to bet with you on this.
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The tears will be heavy for Democrats on election night. One day you all will realize the true villains are the media who lie over and over.
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I predict that I don’t know what is going to happen until November 7th.
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Democrats are behind this horde coming up to the south border. They think their media can spin this as "ripping children from their parents". Won't happen. This is a perfect GOP commercial for the midterms.
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D's might be "energized" but they have no message to normal Americans. What are they running on? Like "Hey lets slow down this great economy, but you can keep using abortion as birth control!"
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I CERTAINLY HOPE REPUBLICANS WIN OVER THE HOUSE AND SENATE DON'T NEED A IMPEACHMENT SCANDAL LIKE MAXINE WATERS AND DIMMS WANT WE WANT JOB'S AND BUSINESSES NOT FIGHTING IN THE STREETS DIMMS VOTE FOR BOOKER ELLISON AND MENENDEZ ALL ASSAULTED WOMEN BLUMENTHAL LIED WHY NO CHEROKEEpic.twitter.com/6ZtzgOn6aI
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There is no way the senate is going to change hands but I’m really hoping for the house to go blue.
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Sure, if you believe polls.
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Among voters, the children in cages effect > the Kavanaugh effect.
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the DEM lead on voters who dislike both parties is HUGE for DEMS.. TRUMP won that vs HRC
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Except dems haven't really behaved like a party that wants to appeal to that group, I can't believe anyone can objectively look at both and choose mobs over jobs
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that group likely HATES Trump & thats why voting? kinda people who likely HATED DJT/HRC & didn't vote or voted TRUMP (business guy reason)
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