We thought about this in terms of voter enthusiasm: #Kavanaugh gets stronger views among Democrats than Republicans. https://morningconsult.com/2018/10/01/voters-more-likely-to-back-senate-candidate-who-opposes-kavanaugh-confirmation/ …https://twitter.com/DavidMDrucker/status/1046861744541437952 …
My analysis has been that, for instance, in a state like ND, Trump's approval is 50% or a little over (I've relied on your polling) and polls have shown Cramer w/ relatively small but durable lead. Also state polls of states like these have shown GOP leading the generic. So...