This race, TN-Sen, has consistently polled as a toss-up, and perhaps deserves more attention than TX-Sen, where polls have consistently shown Cruz ahead.https://twitter.com/SteveKornacki/status/1037807665534169093 …
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I’m bearish on Beto but bullish on Trump turning Texas purpler earlier than expected. My Tennessee/Texas column from January: “Why Ted Cruz Should Be Worried About His Re-Election”http://njour.nl/s/663451?unlock=BNBZPEJKN1UBCWJW …
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“Strategists are still inclined to look at the pre-2016 map in formulating tactical judgments. That divide is clearest in how party officials view the TN and TX Senate races—the 2 red-state contests that could determine whether Ds retake the upper chamber or fall just short.”
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So you think a cruz win by say, less than 8-9 sets the TX Dems up for a better statewide push next time or that trump 2020 puts the state more at risk for Rs?
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Not really. Bigger turnout in 2020 is better for Trump. If Cruz wins by less than 5 than maybe you have something but I wouldn't read too much into that either. Many factors could influence an outcome like that.
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Huh, fair point. There’s also the ridiculous strength of Greg Abbott- it’s not like he’s a moderate, he’s quite conservative and going to win by an enormous margin. So clearly he’s keeping those suburbanites on board.
End of conversation
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