Bredesen is a unicorn. He could win #TNSEN. But Blackburn has to like these numbers. Among her big problems has been name ID. =>>https://twitter.com/NBCFirstRead/status/1037811795661135872 …
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Though this poll apparently did not weigh for education, which could be a problem. Trump's approval seemed on the low end too -- only at 47 in TN? Latter has kind of been a recurring theme in Marist polls; they had Trump at 45/46 in MO, while Scout had him at 50/44.
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Hard to say. Possible problem. Or what if turnout models are showing heavier suburbs where women don't like him, lighter exurbs & rural where his numbers are better? Also possible.
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What about the fact that it did not weight for education? Seems notable in a state like Tennessee.
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Lee being up double digits in the gov race is an example- though by 13. Considering recent R wins there could imagine him winning by 20-25 and her winning by 5-6.
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