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DavidLat's profile
David Lat
David Lat
David Lat
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@DavidLat

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David LatVerified account

@DavidLat

Lawyer turned writer, editor, and speaker. Founder, Above The Law (@ATLblog) and Underneath Their Robes. Author, Supreme Ambitions: A Novel (@SCOTUSambitions).

New York, NY
bit.ly/DavidLat
Joined April 2008

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    David Lat‏Verified account @DavidLat Jul 12

    David Lat Retweeted Craig Caplan

    Can a #Senate expert explain to me: 1. When is the cloture vote? 2. How soon after the cloture vote is the floor vote? 3. What's the deal with the 30 hours of "debate" (floor time)? Can the 30 hours run concurrently (at the same time) for all these nominees?https://twitter.com/CraigCaplan/status/1017471608288473088 …

    David Lat added,

    Craig CaplanVerified account @CraigCaplan
    McConnell sets up Senate floor votes for next week on Federal Reserve Board member Randal Quarles for full 14-year term & two Circuit Court nominees Andrew Oldham for Fifth Circuit & Ryan Bounds for Ninth Circuit by filing cloture.
    5:18 PM - 12 Jul 2018
    • 2 Retweets
    • 5 Likes
    • Above the Law Nicole 🎃ertli King Kyle Michelle Olsen
    9 replies 2 retweets 5 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. Tom Curry‏ @TCurry_Himself Jul 12
        Replying to @DavidLat

        Ask @nielslesniewski

        1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      3. Niels Lesniewski‏Verified account @nielslesniewski Jul 12
        Replying to @TCurry_Himself @DavidLat

        First cloture vote would be Tuesday morning. Then 30 hours, then confirmation vote on Quarles and cloture on the first of the judges. Repeat. (But, they usually get a deal to collapse time and magically have everything done around 2 pm Thursday)

        1 reply 1 retweet 5 likes
      4. David Lat‏Verified account @DavidLat Jul 12
        Replying to @nielslesniewski @TCurry_Himself

        Wow, sounds painful.... but the upshot is these four nominees should have floor votes by Thursday at 2 p.m., you think?

        1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      5. Niels Lesniewski‏Verified account @nielslesniewski Jul 12
        Replying to @DavidLat @TCurry_Himself

        Yes, that would the normal expectation these days.

        1 reply 0 retweets 5 likes
      6. Kyle‏ @703Kyle Jul 12
        Replying to @nielslesniewski @DavidLat @TCurry_Himself

        Is there a reason McConnell hasn't brought more nominees that have cleared committee for a vote already? Some have been floating for 3+ months.

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      7. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Sean T at RCP‏Verified account @SeanTrende Jul 12
        Replying to @DavidLat

        30 hours is what has been slowing things down. You have to have 30 hours of debate between the filing of the cloture motion and the vote on cloture. It cannot run concurrently. The up-or-down vote is shortly after the cloture motion.

        2 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
      3. Sean T at RCP‏Verified account @SeanTrende Jul 12
        Replying to @SeanTrende @DavidLat

        Actually I take that back -- I think there has to be some post-cloture debate as well. @seanmdav will know this way better than I do.

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      4. David Lat‏Verified account @DavidLat Jul 12
        Replying to @SeanTrende @seanmdav

        Thanks! One other question (for you and/or @seanmdav) - can the Senate have pro forma sessions with almost nobody in the chamber to satisfy the 30 hours of "debate"?

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      5. Robin Cook‏ @robinrcook Jul 12
        Replying to @DavidLat @SeanTrende @seanmdav

        Yes. See, e.g, what will happen during the “August Senate session” that McConnell has called.

        2 replies 0 retweets 3 likes
      6. Ira Goldman  🦆 🦆 🦆‏ @KDbyProxy Jul 12
        Replying to @robinrcook @DavidLat and

        Re time running concurrently, oddly I can't recall seeing that Q before. In general (ie unless there's a UC to contrary) all session time post-cloture counts against the 30 hrs. So if cloture is invoked on multiple noms in a series, I think time wd run concurrently. But not sure.

        2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      7. Ira Goldman  🦆 🦆 🦆‏ @KDbyProxy Jul 12
        Replying to @KDbyProxy @robinrcook and

        To clarify: The only way the Senate can have a back-to-back series of cloture votes on nominees is if there's a UC to allow it; in that scenario, if cloture is invoked on each of them, in theory the 30 hours can run concurrently. ...

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      8. Ira Goldman  🦆 🦆 🦆‏ @KDbyProxy Jul 12
        Replying to @KDbyProxy @robinrcook and

        But w/o a UC, back-to-back cloture votes can't happen – b/c if cloture is invoked on Nom 1, Nom 1 remains the Senate's business until resolved (unless a UC allows moving to other business). IOW: It's cloture, then (up to) 30 hours; then next cloture, then (up to) 30 hours; etc.

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      9. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. John Doe‏ @jocularjaegar Jul 12
        Replying to @DavidLat

        I am not a bona fide Senate expert by any means, but I do follow Senate floor politics.

        1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
      3. John Doe‏ @jocularjaegar Jul 12
        Replying to @jocularjaegar @DavidLat

        1/ usually there is a “bed-check” vote on Monday at 5:30 pm to make sure Senators are in Washington, D.C. to vote on a bill or nomination.

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      4. John Doe‏ @jocularjaegar Jul 12
        Replying to @jocularjaegar @DavidLat

        2/ The ldr has usually scheduled the first cloture vote on a given series of nominations for a week at 5:30 on a given Monday. Since cloture motions “ripen” (i.e. can be brought up for a vote) 2 legislative days after they have been filed, he asks for uc to ripen them at 5:30.

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      5. John Doe‏ @jocularjaegar Jul 12
        Replying to @jocularjaegar @DavidLat

        3/ this is usually allowed by the Dems to avoid keeping the Senate in session on the weekend just to allow cloture motions to ripen. In next week’s cases, the Senate’s bed-check vote will be on Ed. Dept. nomination, and not on the judges or Randy Quarles.

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      6. Tweet unavailable
      7. John Doe‏ @jocularjaegar Jul 12
        Replying to @jocularjaegar @DavidLat

        5/ So the Senate will likely move on the nominations in the order cloture was filed. So Quarles, then Oldham, then Bounds.

        2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
      8. David Lat‏Verified account @DavidLat Jul 12
        Replying to @jocularjaegar

        So, bottom line, when do you estimate Oldham and Bounds will get floor votes?

        2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
      9. John Doe‏ @jocularjaegar Jul 12
        Replying to @DavidLat

        The absolute guarantee is by Thursday afternoon, because as Hill reporters refer to, the "jet fumes" start getting to the Senators and they want to skate town. I would expect a Judge (possibly Justice in the next GOP admin) Oldham on Wednesday, and a Judge Bounds on Thursday.

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      10. 1 more reply

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