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DavidLat's profile
David Lat
David Lat
David Lat
Verified account
@DavidLat

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David LatVerified account

@DavidLat

Lawyer turned writer, editor, and speaker. Founder, Above The Law (@ATLblog) and Underneath Their Robes. Author, Supreme Ambitions: A Novel (@SCOTUSambitions).

New York, NY
bit.ly/DavidLat
Joined April 2008

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    David Lat‏Verified account @DavidLat Jul 3

    David Lat Retweeted PredictIt

    Interesting to see that Judge Amy Coney Barrett continues to climb in the @PredictIt prediction market for #SCOTUS - does the market know something that we don't? http://bit.ly/2KJOq8z https://twitter.com/PredictIt/status/1014166152216567808 …

    David Lat added,

    PredictItVerified account @PredictIt
    A thorough breakdown from @DavidLat on who may be the next Supreme Court justice nominee. Thanks for the @PredictIt shout-out! https://abovethelaw.com/2018/07/americas-next-top-justice-judge-brett-kavanaugh-or-judge-raymond-kethledge/ … #Trump #SCOTUS @atlblog
    8:23 AM - 3 Jul 2018
    • 8 Retweets
    • 15 Likes
    • PredictIt Melanie Taylor KP Scan Jake S. Truscott LexPredict Coyote (❤️Bitchute) Dave Stevens Victoria Balfour ❌Iris❌
    8 replies 8 retweets 15 likes
      1. New conversation
      2. PJ Hoffman‏ @PJ_Hoffman Jul 3
        Replying to @DavidLat @PredictIt

        It’s because there is a separate market for whether there will be a female nominee and there is a hedging strategy which is driving her price up.

        1 reply 0 retweets 4 likes
      3. David Lat‏Verified account @DavidLat Jul 3
        Replying to @PJ_Hoffman @PredictIt

        Oh, interesting! Makes sense.

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      4. End of conversation
      1. New conversation
      2. Rob Ives‏ @CCRobIves Jul 3
        Replying to @DavidLat @instapundit @PredictIt

        Simple, it is obviously the most troll pick (in reality, also an excellent pick). The market assumes that PDT will pick the candidate that 1. Is well qualified AND 2. Drives his opponents most insane. It seems reasonable.

        1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
      3. David Lat‏Verified account @DavidLat Jul 3
        Replying to @CCRobIves @instapundit @PredictIt

        Generally not a bad bet with this administration, but #SCOTUS is different; Gorsuch was a textbook move.

        1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
      4. 1 more reply
      1. Swearengen‏ @Camelback71 Jul 3
        Replying to @DavidLat @instapundit @PredictIt

        Chuck Schumer's deranged tweet storm yesterday about her might have had just a tiny bit to do with that bump in odds.

        0 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
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      1. Michael DiSiena‏ @MJD232323 Jul 3
        Replying to @DavidLat @PredictIt

        Kethledge and Kavanaugh would both be viewed as more acceptable to the Senate than Barrett. It helps to boost her for that counterintuitive purpose.

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      1. Domahhhhhhh‏ @Domahhhh Jul 3
        Replying to @DavidLat @PredictIt

        Nope.

        0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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      1. Conservative in Utah‏ @ConservativeUT Jul 3
        Replying to @DavidLat @instapundit @PredictIt

        Now both women are dropping in value, and 4/5 men are rising, but I think Lee was just rejected.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Joe Wald‏ @TheRealJoeWald Jul 3
        Replying to @DavidLat @PredictIt

        Coney Barrett will anchor Collins & Friends, Keth/Kav will look moderate in comparison, McCain status means slim room for error...AMK clerks for AMK seat. More interesting...what happens if CT bails next term?

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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      1. Dave Stevens‏ @ultralitigator Jul 3
        Replying to @DavidLat @PredictIt

        One can hope.

        0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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