The fair challenge to the EU is that they suggested the exact Canada agreement could be on offer. But as I wrote 8 months ago, it was only ever going to be available accompanied by rigid level playing field rules. The UK chose to ignore this 2/ https://ecipe.org/blog/isolation-or-integration-eu-fta-brexit/ …
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Back to trade and the pre speech brief talks Japan, Australia, New Zealand rather than the US or EU. For Australia or New Zealand locking in agricultural access is crucial (hello UK lamb farmers). But for Japan? Could tariff free car access be a factor? Hello Sunderland... 13/
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The government's cheerleaders tell us that the EU's approach to trade agreements is outdated, and free ports will help for some reason. In reality the EU has more agreements than anyone, and regulatory alignment is crucial in modern trade 14/
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We also hear of the possibility of new pro-Brexit think tanks, which makes one wonder, where precisely are those pushing for sensible EU ties? We have the world's largest and most developed single market on our doorstep, the country can't be moved to the Pacific... 15/
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Maybe Johnson won't actually say no alignment, no ECJ, no concessions. Most likely these are just words to which he's giving flexible meaning to talk tough to England, though heaven know why bother now. For sure UK diplomats will know the EU will just shrug and roll eyes 16/
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Meanwhile tomorrow the EU will publish their negotiating mandate, in which we don't expect too many surprises. Talks will start with the UK in which Johnson's speech will be probed to see exactly what it means. Don't expect too much progress for a few months 17/
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In the business community meanwhile expect no-deal plans to intensify, and investment to continue to struggle. Why invest in a country whose government talks in wholly unrealistic ways about the economy and trade? 18/
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No alignment, no ECJ, no concessions isn't typical tough talk at the start of negotiations. It is a government unable to break out of four years of unrealistic discussion about what we could achieve outside the EU. It seems another chance is about to be missed. 19/ end
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Kraj razgovora
Novi razgovor -
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@LeaveHQ better pay the bar tab - it aint over yet.Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi
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Johnson’s ‘speech’ hasn’t been given yet and as with his other speeches, may change between the headlines and delivery. Looks to me like a spin job to dominate headlines and broadcast talking points. We’ll see what he will actually say and if the rhetoric of substance changes.
Hvala. Twitter će to iskoristiti za poboljšanje vaše vremenske crte. PoništiPoništi
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