Not good. Here is the @imperialcollege paper on #omicron severity “We find no evidence (for both risk of hospitalisation and symptom status) of Omicron having different severity from Delta, though data on hospitalisations are still very limited” https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/mrc-gida/2021-12-16-COVID19-Report-49.pdf …
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Replying to @larrybrilliant @imperialcollege
feels kind of unsatisfying about the severity question. it’s hard to estimate right now but it seems we need to incorporate time in the analysis due to the rapid growth rate. are these early cases so not hitting hospital yet or is it actually different in severity? unclearpic.twitter.com/HnijW4JrqM
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i mean, if the doubling rate is 2.5 days, and it normally takes (say) 10 to get to the hospital, then the early infections are going to have 1/16th the number of the new infections. this will make it look, erroneously, like hospitalizations happen at 1/16th the steady state rate
9:27 PM - 17 Dec 2021
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