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DanielleFong's profile
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Empire of the Future
Joined February 2008

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    1. Larry Brilliant MD, MPH‏ @larrybrilliant 17 Dec 2021

      Not good. Here is the @imperialcollege paper on #omicron severity “We find no evidence (for both risk of hospitalisation and symptom status) of Omicron having different severity from Delta, though data on hospitalisations are still very limited” https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/mrc-gida/2021-12-16-COVID19-Report-49.pdf …

      8 replies 77 retweets 185 likes
       🤷🏻‍♀️‏ @DanielleFong 17 Dec 2021
      Replying to @larrybrilliant @imperialcollege

      feels kind of unsatisfying about the severity question. it’s hard to estimate right now but it seems we need to incorporate time in the analysis due to the rapid growth rate. are these early cases so not hitting hospital yet or is it actually different in severity? unclearpic.twitter.com/HnijW4JrqM

      9:19 PM - 17 Dec 2021
      • 2 Retweets
      • 6 Likes
      • Gary 🇨🇦 Carol Fischer Justin White REAL ZERO 2030 Fernando Borretti Mark Linsey 🤷🏻‍♀️
      2 replies 2 retweets 6 likes
        1.  🤷🏻‍♀️‏ @DanielleFong 17 Dec 2021
          Replying to @DanielleFong @larrybrilliant @imperialcollege

          i mean, if the doubling rate is 2.5 days, and it normally takes (say) 10 to get to the hospital, then the early infections are going to have 1/16th the number of the new infections. this will make it look, erroneously, like hospitalizations happen at 1/16th the steady state rate

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        1.  🤷🏻‍♀️‏ @DanielleFong 17 Dec 2021
          Replying to @DanielleFong @larrybrilliant @imperialcollege

           🤷🏻‍♀️ Retweeted Chise  🧬 🧫 🦠 💉

          eg this data. (linked in another reply) it’s hard to square this with any theory where this is super deadly. maybe the clinical results really do follow the ex vivo results that it is 10x less able to attack lung tissue from the hk study. main risk is further mutationhttps://twitter.com/sailorrooscout/status/1471823759497740298 …

           🤷🏻‍♀️ added,

          Chise  🧬 🧫 🦠 💉 @sailorrooscout
          Encouraging news out of South Africa’s MOH this morning. Age-controlled data regarding Omicron severity. ACROSS ALL AGES, death rates among hospitalized patients are 2/3 LOWER in the Omicron wave. In addition, hospitalization rates have FALLEN 91% in the Omicron wave.🧵 pic.twitter.com/rxJIgeeMOm
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