Not good. Here is the @imperialcollege paper on #omicron severity “We find no evidence (for both risk of hospitalisation and symptom status) of Omicron having different severity from Delta, though data on hospitalisations are still very limited” https://www.imperial.ac.uk/media/imperial-college/medicine/mrc-gida/2021-12-16-COVID19-Report-49.pdf …
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i mean, if the doubling rate is 2.5 days, and it normally takes (say) 10 to get to the hospital, then the early infections are going to have 1/16th the number of the new infections. this will make it look, erroneously, like hospitalizations happen at 1/16th the steady state rate
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eg this data. (linked in another reply) it’s hard to square this with any theory where this is super deadly. maybe the clinical results really do follow the ex vivo results that it is 10x less able to attack lung tissue from the hk study. main risk is further mutationhttps://twitter.com/sailorrooscout/status/1471823759497740298 …
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