when adding together multiple lines of converging evidence, the uncertainties don't add, exactly, in many ways, they partially cancel each other out, over constraining some of the possibility space, rendering it impossible.
rate of growth in south africa and rate of growth in positivity of over 10x (iirc), proportion of omicron cases (>2/3x) at the same time as hospitalization is up by a factor. the biological evidence is supporting, bu the dynamics of this virus are clearly different
-
-
I've been looking at that data. I'm def not convinced of the "mild" disease-only readings. However, SA 65% unvaccinated. Admittedly probably a lot of natural immunity is present. I'm leaning towards your initial read; it is not nothing. Also seems unlikely to be devastating.
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.
