when adding together multiple lines of converging evidence, the uncertainties don't add, exactly, in many ways, they partially cancel each other out, over constraining some of the possibility space, rendering it impossible.
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in this case, the possibility space being canceled out is that omicron is no big deal...
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Replying to @DanielleFong
I don't think it's a big deal in that it's just as big of a deal as it was a month ago before people bothered to look for it in sequencing. Our positive case rate and hospitalizations are through the roof and people only now care because it's exotic...
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Replying to @Pravduh15
i think the lines of evidence about immune resistance are compelling. 3x reinfections, faster growth rate. not saying it wasn't bad as it was!
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Replying to @DanielleFong
It's only alarming if you think it magically popped up yesterday and don't think that it was spreading for at least 1.5 months undetected.
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Replying to @Pravduh15 @DanielleFong
We literally just started looking for it. Of course it's everywhere. It had at least 1 month to spread before we ever started looking for it.
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Replying to @DanielleFong @PLURplus
Bad or not bothering. I'm wondering if this was intentional to sell vaccines. It was discovered in Africa and the first people I heard about were vaccinated.
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Replying to @Pravduh15 @PLURplus
there has been a lot of stupid scheming that's verifiable. Russia was spreading antivax propaganda and is now struggling against it. classic.
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Replying to @DanielleFong @PLURplus
I don't think they work. Look at our numbers. The ones we're allowed to see.
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idk. they’re like 20fold reduced titers maybe, but you’d need 1000fold to render ineffective, or something, right?
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Replying to @DanielleFong @PLURplus
We have more vaccines now than we did at any point last year.
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