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DanielleFong's profile
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@DanielleFong

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@DanielleFong

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Empire of the Future
Joined February 2008

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    1.  🤷🏻‍♀️‏ @DanielleFong 3 Dec 2021

      when adding together multiple lines of converging evidence, the uncertainties don't add, exactly, in many ways, they partially cancel each other out, over constraining some of the possibility space, rendering it impossible.

      1 reply 0 retweets 13 likes
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    2.  🤷🏻‍♀️‏ @DanielleFong 3 Dec 2021

      in this case, the possibility space being canceled out is that omicron is no big deal...

      5 replies 0 retweets 8 likes
      Show this thread
    3. Subjectivism‏ @elementrus 3 Dec 2021
      Replying to @DanielleFong

      remember when logarithmic graphs were used by the New York Times to depict a scenario wherein 60 million would be dead within the year if we didn't vaccinate appears to me we've gotten a new variant of this virus right around the same time; if you look back, the OG was Dec '19

      1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
    4. Subjectivism‏ @elementrus 3 Dec 2021
      Replying to @elementrus @DanielleFong

      oops, they didn't use logarithmic, that was the issue hah. Math was never my strong suit

      1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
       🤷🏻‍♀️‏ @DanielleFong 3 Dec 2021
      Replying to @elementrus

      actually for me and my family 80 million was our estimate too. it comes out a naive application of the numbers, as they were then, among other calculations. "registered cause of deaths" is at 5 MM. at near within an order of magnitude it's not bad I think, but;

      2:55 PM - 3 Dec 2021
      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
        1. New conversation
        2.  🤷🏻‍♀️‏ @DanielleFong 3 Dec 2021
          Replying to @DanielleFong @elementrus

          the landscape of mutation was always going to drive this thing, and how do you estimate that? also, people *can* modify it in the lab, now that it's out, do you think people *won't?* they already have! it could leak. and any mixture could yield recombination.

          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Subjectivism‏ @elementrus 3 Dec 2021
          Replying to @DanielleFong

          I would say there is more cause for concern regarding the huge societal mindset shifting from being anti-Big Pharma to outrageously lauding the inability for anything except perfection even when regarding a nobody online discussing, amiccably, related context.

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        4. Show replies
        1. New conversation
        2. Subjectivism‏ @elementrus 3 Dec 2021
          Replying to @DanielleFong

          Right. So, the issue (and I'll use Canada as the example first) is that 95% during the first wave of OG was over the age of 65 years; the distinction of those who are affected long-term hasn't altered after 3 years Age bracket 65-74 maintain more than all preceding ages combined

          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        3. Subjectivism‏ @elementrus 3 Dec 2021
          Replying to @elementrus @DanielleFong

          the latter was American. With 56% of the deaths being over the age of 74 (75+) if you're to look at the associated commorbities, you'd see that alzheimers, influenza and pneumonia are listed very high

          0 replies 0 retweets 1 like
        4. End of conversation

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