bought a few dozen calls on Apple, $170 strike nov 26th expiry. i basically figure creators and reviewers and everyone who’s been waiting will be starting to get these over the next few weeks and the halo effect will be great. & it’s a good sign that apple listened to customers
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Replying to @DanielleFong
You are gonna get IV crushed after earnings. At this point, your bet is mainly on AAPL’s Q3 earnings. If you wanted to have a more pure “reviews and halo effect” play, you’d want to wait until after 10/28 to buy calls.
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Replying to @KSHWKXLQLSJFHWS @socialism_bad
why would you wait until the reviews start to drop?
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Replying to @DanielleFong @socialism_bad
oh, i guess you already said. you think the iv drop after earning will be terribly, you’re trying to factor that out
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Replying to @KSHWKXLQLSJFHWS @socialism_bad
otoh could go a lot higher after earnings, maybe it’s still cheap now.
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Replying to @DanielleFong
You could calculate the implied move post earnings (from the options pricing), I’d guess at most 4-5%!
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if it’s 5 % to the positive it’d be at 155, i think even with a drop in IV it would be a valuable option. if earnings suck it will suck pretty badly i guess
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