We finally have a word for people who are experts in AI, immunology, and Afghanistan all at once. https://philpapers.org/archive/BALET-2.pdf …pic.twitter.com/kOZeliKQ8r
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biggest three goofs were expecting temp checks at airports to work, resisting airborne spread hypotheses even after the diamond princess and expecting the lethality contagiousness tradeoffs for variants to dominate and prevent a more severe, more contagious variant. really dumb
What does the last one mean? I don't think I've seen epidemiologists claim that variants would tend to be less contagious or less lethal. If anything, the epidemiologists I follow on Twitter have been consistently saying that more lethal or contagious variants were a possibility.
i can’t say that i have a grat view on what the epidemiology community as a whole thought about mutation, despite my finding personal resistance to it, but in this article in escience a practitioner describes extraordinary resistance to it.https://twitter.com/DanielleFong/status/1428833098460958722 …
Where and when did epidemiologists say that temperature checks at airports would be sufficient rather than better than nothing?
all you needed to know that this was going to go pandemic was that people were relying on temperature checks at airports, the virus was presenting with low/no fever, there were still flights out of china and across the world, & R was > 2. epidemiologists failed their alarm here
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