call option on endemic covid variants haunting us repeatedly
yeah i mean i don't know what factor beyond an order of magnitude you want to put on the number of actual cases vs detected cases. globally 4,409,878 tracked deaths, 210,445,664 tracked cases. that's 2%. but maybe we're catching only 10% of cases. otoh, we're also missing deaths
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Whatever it is, raw experience on the ground is painting a post-pandemic picture for me in which the vast majority of people under a certain age are more or less completely unharmed if vaccinated
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Meanwhile for children, IFR according to CDC estimates is 1 in 100,000. Even if one wants to consider other bad outcomes, the fact that this is less than estimated pediatric flu fatality is telling
End of conversation
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