might be literally lucky that we have a not-terribly-more-severe virus distributing natural immunity to the vax-unresponsive / vax-resistant / vax-abstaining / unable-to-access-vaccine populations. feels terrible to say, but imagine if the virus was in a form 10x more lethal?
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What’s your opinion?
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i’m halfway between the first two options. i wish it were less luck dependent for if a more potent / severe virus mutates out of the insanely contagious delta variant. there’s good evidence that the rate of mutation is slower in vaxxed pops, but 1 mutation might change that.
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maybe but, probably not; almost all remaining / modern influenza A is decended from the 1918 pandemic H1N1 virus. it will probably diverge enough to find niches / be endemic, even crossing into animal populations
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"idgaf anymore" as in "let's try to do our best". Vaccinations seem to lower the mutation rate at least, so the number of surprises should decrease if and when the global south gets access to vaccines at scale.
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yes, the data seems to support the theory. it’s a large effect. *but* mutations in say a immunocompromized but vaxxed pateint might develop the very kind of vaccine resistant mutation that we fear most.https://twitter.com/EricTopol/status/1425201397448941568 …
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What happens to the 20% who cannot get a vaccination passport?
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most will get delta or some derivative of it, and most will survive, with some long term problems for some

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