Me too, but more specifically, I've been wrong due to at least the following two failings: 1) following immediate / overconfident expert opinion more than was justified 2) not realizing how poorly the delay of infections + exponential dynamics were understood by decision makershttps://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1399230590193266695 …
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Replying to @davidmanheim
i wish i understood that part of the reason people weren’t reacting to the airborne nature was because of the droplet size misconception. i could have done better to help clear this up maybe
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Replying to @DanielleFong
Part, yes. But social consensus was a lot of the rest - and I don't know that factual information that contradicted the narrative of droplet transmission would have been accepted widely. (Per recent articles, the droplet physicists didn't have any luck convincing experts.)
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Replying to @davidmanheim
🤷🏻♀️ Retweeted 🤷🏻♀️
still don’t know why videos like this didn’t break the 6 ft myth.https://twitter.com/DanielleFong/status/1278390603374563332 …
🤷🏻♀️ added,
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Replying to @DanielleFong
It wasn't initially clear (to me) whether droplets held enough virus to matter, or even that droplets (rather than surfaces) were responsible for transmission
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Replying to @davidmanheim
i keep coming back to the mystery of transmission aboard the diamond princess. the idea that it was airborne was by far the most likely candidate, but unconfirmed. but instead of updating many seemed to ignore it
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Replying to @DanielleFong
There was lots of new information all of the time, and I, at least, didn't clearly understand the Diamond Princess transmission dynamics until I looked into it much later. (But IIRC, at the time no one was holding it up as proof of airborne transmission. For some reason.)
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at the time i thought it could possibly be through food, through ace-2 receptors in the gut (there are more in the gut than the lungs, maybe long infection time) but i was the only one i knew what was holding onto this hypothesis. the balance of suspicion favored airborne!
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(experiment at a Florida University with 10 - 20 micron droplets, video source CNN. watch to the end...)