Me too, but more specifically, I've been wrong due to at least the following two failings: 1) following immediate / overconfident expert opinion more than was justified 2) not realizing how poorly the delay of infections + exponential dynamics were understood by decision makershttps://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1399230590193266695 …
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There was lots of new information all of the time, and I, at least, didn't clearly understand the Diamond Princess transmission dynamics until I looked into it much later. (But IIRC, at the time no one was holding it up as proof of airborne transmission. For some reason.)
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at the time i thought it could possibly be through food, through ace-2 receptors in the gut (there are more in the gut than the lungs, maybe long infection time) but i was the only one i knew what was holding onto this hypothesis. the balance of suspicion favored airborne!
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(experiment at a Florida University with 10 - 20 micron droplets, video source CNN. watch to the end...)