Me too, but more specifically, I've been wrong due to at least the following two failings: 1) following immediate / overconfident expert opinion more than was justified 2) not realizing how poorly the delay of infections + exponential dynamics were understood by decision makershttps://twitter.com/CT_Bergstrom/status/1399230590193266695 …
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It wasn't initially clear (to me) whether droplets held enough virus to matter, or even that droplets (rather than surfaces) were responsible for transmission
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i keep coming back to the mystery of transmission aboard the diamond princess. the idea that it was airborne was by far the most likely candidate, but unconfirmed. but instead of updating many seemed to ignore it
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(experiment at a Florida University with 10 - 20 micron droplets, video source CNN. watch to the end...)