this might be because of isolation, mask wearing, lifestyle habits, or very very aggressive contact tracing done early in Taiwan, so, a larger denominator. Also with rates so low in Taiwan less likely to catch Covid off of a traced chain. either way, it's the same number for pre
this study has a lot of methodological problems, but the main one is that it doesn't account for the lag in the effectiveness of npis to the death rate. it takes time for lockdowns to affect death since the disease takes time to kill. if you incl lags you get 70% sig. relationspic.twitter.com/O48LYGimd3
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Is 14 months not enough time? For every example where NPIs are followed by a curve flattening/decline, I can show you several more where that didn't happen. I'm sorry, it sucks that we destroyed the economy and people's livelihoods and long term health for nothing, but we did
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