the more complex the mathematics, the easier it is to hide mistakes
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@SebSchroen this is a quality correction / review
https://sebschroen.github.io/#fn1 Show this thread
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yeah, the authors in that Brazilian study even mention this and then surprisingly don't take it into account properly (??) given that lockdowns usually proceed when things are getting pretty dire it's obvious that would be a confounding variable and you need to lag the data...pic.twitter.com/1UOqfNSgO2
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idk, here is my smooth-brain analysis