My Substack post about asymptomatic/presymptomatic COVID transmission is up now. About that Asymptomatic Spread...https://georgiboorman.substack.com/p/about-that-asymptomatic-spread?r=2k1wi&utm_campaign=post&utm_medium=web&utm_source=twitter …
you’re right, i did miss that point — but even if in the close contact of lockdown the attack rates go up because of frequency of contact, the outbreak stops within the bubble, which is an effective control, right?
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You would think that, certainly. But real-world data shows lockdowns don't correlate to lower per capita covid death rates. Look at the Google mobility data.
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is this the study you’re suggesting? https://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S2352827321000744 …pic.twitter.com/uWhRG6icwB
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"Essential workers" still have to go to work. Millions of them, and they don't get to have bubbles. Of course, one of the most infected groups have been healthcare workers - because the patients are symptomatic.
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