idk, the problem is like, 3-6 orders of magnitude bigger than people want to deal with mentally, and giant engineering projects fail all the time, civilizations fall. if the first outpost on mars doesn’t turn into roanoke 2.0 it will be a miracle
i think we can support outposts, but a *self sustaining* civilizations is a whole other ballgame.
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The moon and Mars are indeed harsh mistresses, but if we stay alive, we’ll almost certainly expand beyond earth to wherever there’s the most energy. And short of a mega asteroid impact or alien extermination, I don’t see how everyone everywhere dies off.
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