against asymptomatic transmission and models as evidencehttps://knovigator.com/quest/against-asymptomatic-transmission-and-models-as-evidence-9mpex72g#play …
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Replying to @metamitya
it's the presymptomatic / subsymptomatic stuff that makes this whole discussion really hairy.
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Replying to @DanielleFong
yea, the pre-symptomatic claim is more complicated but the meta-analysis in that thread shows very little pre-symptomatic spread as well (0.7% for both asymptomatic and pre-symptomatic in household). if you come across any good studies showing pre-symptomatic spread let me know
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Replying to @metamitya
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you’re in luck, i previously dug into this. that specific claim appears to be a mistake, propagated in the meta-analysis. see thread,https://twitter.com/DanielleFong/status/1357470834277908483 …
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🤷🏻♀️ @DanielleFongReplying to @DraganOrlich @georgi_boormanI went through every single reference about the presymptomatic attack rates in the meta analysis she cites, and it's weird. The attack rates are way higher than the meta analysis cites (0.7%) e.g. here it's 4.4% asymp, 6.1% pre... https://wwwnc.cdc.gov/eid/article/26/11/20-2263_article … pic.twitter.com/fB36uKpe9f1 reply 1 retweet 2 likes -
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also this one https://twitter.com/DanielleFong/status/1357457620764921857?s=20 … not sure why i didn't have one consolidated thread, oh well
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