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DanielleFong's profile
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@DanielleFong

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@DanielleFong

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Empire of the Future
Joined February 2008

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    1.  🤷🏻‍♀️‏ @DanielleFong 30 Mar 2021

       🤷🏻‍♀️ Retweeted Matthew Noah Smith

      i’ve been talking about this since feb of last year; while there is normally a tradeoff between contagiousness & severity, if the bulk of infection happens before the worst severity, or if much infectious happens with asymptomatic / subsymptomatic people, tradeoff doesn’t applyhttps://twitter.com/MattNoahSmith/status/1377001525206265858 …

       🤷🏻‍♀️ added,

      Matthew Noah Smith @MattNoahSmith
      Can a virologist or epidemiologist explain why the conventional wisdom, just a few months ago, was that a virus was very unlikely to mutate to be BOTH more infectious AND more virulent. Now the CW is that B117, B1351, & P1 are all both more infectious and more virulent.
      Show this thread
      2 replies 1 retweet 11 likes
      Show this thread
       🤷🏻‍♀️‏ @DanielleFong 30 Mar 2021

      in the case of most variants, the viral load ramps up to much higher levels and lasts much longer — this contributes both to severity and infectiousness

      8:58 PM - 30 Mar 2021
      • 2 Likes
      • Anna Nowogrodzki Ritchie Trilnack
      2 replies 0 retweets 2 likes
        1. New conversation
        2. Andrew Wooster  💉 💉 💯 💉‏ @wooster 30 Mar 2021
          Replying to @DanielleFong

          Andrew Wooster  💉 💉 💯 💉 Retweeted Andrew Wooster  💉 💉 💯 💉

          April of last year. The received wisdom that these get less deadly is only true over long timescales.https://twitter.com/wooster/status/1254231552478687232 …

          Andrew Wooster  💉 💉 💯 💉 added,

          Andrew Wooster  💉 💉 💯 💉 @wooster
          Replying to @buzz @danielpunkass
          Yeah, but again not a given. It could just as easily evolve into a more deadly virus. The timescales and carnage involved for us to evolve immunity or gain herd immunity can also be frightening.
          1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
        3. Andrew Wooster  💉 💉 💯 💉‏ @wooster 30 Mar 2021
          Replying to @wooster @DanielleFong

          Andrew Wooster  💉 💉 💯 💉 Retweeted Andrew Wooster  💉 💉 💯 💉

          Alsohttps://twitter.com/wooster/status/1254233540608143360 …

          Andrew Wooster  💉 💉 💯 💉 added,

          Andrew Wooster  💉 💉 💯 💉 @wooster
          Replying to @danielpunkass @buzz
          More that they’re less likely to kill their host, and so the host gains immunity and is left alive. Meanwhile a deadlier strain could evolve to spread more quickly and kill every host, so the people that get that all die and we’re left with some hosts immune to both. 😬
          1 reply 0 retweets 1 like
        4. Show replies
        1. gerald pao‏ @PLURplus 30 Mar 2021
          Replying to @DanielleFong

          The trade off only applies as you say contagion and disease severity are temporally synchronized. In addition it also needs a severe lethality for natural selection to be operative (e.g. myxoma) Even with smallpox 30% lethal it took approximately 5K years for milder variola minor

          0 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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