i’ve been talking about this since feb of last year; while there is normally a tradeoff between contagiousness & severity, if the bulk of infection happens before the worst severity, or if much infectious happens with asymptomatic / subsymptomatic people, tradeoff doesn’t applyhttps://twitter.com/MattNoahSmith/status/1377001525206265858 …
-
-
April of last year. The received wisdom that these get less deadly is only true over long timescales.https://twitter.com/wooster/status/1254231552478687232 …
- Show replies
New conversation -
-
-
The trade off only applies as you say contagion and disease severity are temporally synchronized. In addition it also needs a severe lethality for natural selection to be operative (e.g. myxoma) Even with smallpox 30% lethal it took approximately 5K years for milder variola minor
Thanks. Twitter will use this to make your timeline better. UndoUndo
-
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.

