Just eyeballing it it seems clearly more impactful (over the medium term) to give 20-40yo their first COVID shot to slow transmission of the virus, rather than give 40-65yo their second shot, which only very incrementally lowers their risk of death or transmitting the virus.
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I mean this is even better for the older people in the medium term because their risk of catching the virus will keep getting lower and lower each week, thanks to vaccinations of young people preventing it from spreading.
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Replying to @robertwiblin
the wildcard here is if just one shot creates an environment for supermutation in, say immunocompromised people, like was theorized to happen for the kent variant. such people should still get a 2nd shot
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Replying to @DanielleFong
Having more people infected by the virus also means more mutations to evade the immune system. :/
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indeed! the radical proposal I am in favor of is MRNA manufacturing appropriation for some reasonable # of $ billions! we should have scaled this up not by a factor of 2x, but 10x!
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