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DanielleFong's profile
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@DanielleFong

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@DanielleFong

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Empire of the Future
Joined February 2008

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    1. PoliMath‏ @politicalmath 21 Feb 2021

      US has passed a half-million dead from COVID, a grim, sad, and ugly benchmark I didn't think we'd go this high in no small part b/c I was looking at China's numbers & saying "Well, if those are accurate, the 'millions dead' seems pretty unrealistic"

      20 replies 10 retweets 101 likes
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    2. PoliMath‏ @politicalmath 21 Feb 2021

      A big reason I didn't think we'd have this many dead is because I really did think this thing was stoppable It seemed insane to me that we could lose hundreds of thousands of people without implementing effective interventions

      4 replies 1 retweet 50 likes
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    3. PoliMath‏ @politicalmath 21 Feb 2021

      I'm now convinced that my big error was in believing that interventions would be effective They have not been There are two interventions that seem effective: 1) extremely strict border control 2) a population willing to self isolate for very long periods of time

      12 replies 7 retweets 104 likes
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    4. PoliMath‏ @politicalmath 21 Feb 2021

      I thought (along with many others including the CDC) that we could control this through policy interventions That would mean that this many dead would be the result of policy failures. I couldn't believe that we would see a crisis this big without an effective response policy

      4 replies 1 retweet 40 likes
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    5. PoliMath‏ @politicalmath 21 Feb 2021

      I did not even begin to entertain the idea that we could implement massive long-running state sanctioned restrictions on social and business gatherings that *wouldn't* be massively effective Here we are and they simply haven't been

      5 replies 3 retweets 67 likes
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    6. PoliMath‏ @politicalmath 21 Feb 2021

      I think it's instructive that, based on COVID deaths, the best state is Hawaii, an island state with strict border control and massive penalties for disregarding restrictions. And their death rate would still put us at over 100K dead nationwide

      5 replies 4 retweets 71 likes
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    7. PoliMath‏ @politicalmath 21 Feb 2021

      I am, to this day, uncertain where "blame" lies for the death toll in this crisis Very few of the people who call COVID a massive policy failure have any real concrete vision for how we could have stopped this It always ends up boiling down to "We should be New Zealand"

      20 replies 4 retweets 109 likes
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    8. PoliMath‏ @politicalmath 21 Feb 2021

      We are obviously not New Zealand, so what's the next step in this? I honestly don't hear any ideas that can be measured against reality as plausible solutions

      15 replies 1 retweet 70 likes
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       🤷🏻‍♀️‏ @DanielleFong 21 Feb 2021
      Replying to @politicalmath

      it’s arguable the numbers could have been exponentially better had there been more rapid response in testing and mask wearing as well as a much wider travel ban early until testing could be ramped up. because of the very rapid growth in cases without a response small changes impt

      10:35 PM - 21 Feb 2021
      2 replies 0 retweets 0 likes
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        2. PoliMath‏ @politicalmath 21 Feb 2021
          Replying to @DanielleFong

          That's possible... But how would that have stopped the winter surge? We were already masked up, already had massive testing, and air travel was down by 50%-60% year-over-year.

          1 reply 0 retweets 2 likes
        3.  🤷🏻‍♀️‏ @DanielleFong 21 Feb 2021
          Replying to @politicalmath

          oh man i legit think people's behavior could have been a good clip 30-40% better if trump wasn't encouraging it, but the whole thing spun completely out of control first with the state protests and then after george floyd, you could not count on a high level of compliance after

          2 replies 0 retweets 1 like
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