New variants seem scary. Mutations obey laws of biology that make them less frightening than the media & leaders would like. No time for more than this: Corona is tame compared to a diabolical mutating virus called Influenza. We survive new flu each year, so fear not Covid19.https://twitter.com/DanielleFong/status/1356811341953138691 …
-
-
Replying to @MLevitt_NP2013
in this case, the asymptomatic spread and early in incubation / before most symptoms show spread means that the typical evolutionary tradeoff between contagiousness and lethality is much less powerful. The B.1.1.7 variant is both more contagious and (probably) more lethal
9 replies 2 retweets 18 likes -
Replying to @DanielleFong @MLevitt_NP2013
"Realistic possibility" does not equal "probably". You are scaremongering from pure guesswork. Why would you do that?
1 reply 0 retweets 1 like -
Replying to @HelgeMorset @MLevitt_NP2013
the example, if you believe the interpretation, shows this is not an idle possibility; it happened. the assumption that it will grow to be less lethal is an overgeneralization of a ‘law’ that is indeed only a tendency
2 replies 0 retweets 1 like -
Replying to @DanielleFong @MLevitt_NP2013
Well anyways you are then both guessing. But the only one i can see making a confident prediction is you.
1 reply 0 retweets 0 likes
i’m making a statement about the laws influencing likelihoods behind the severity of infections vs contagiousness not applying as powerfully in this case. the reasons for those laws are derived from the idea if you’re dead you’re not passing the disease on. just follow the logic.
Loading seems to be taking a while.
Twitter may be over capacity or experiencing a momentary hiccup. Try again or visit Twitter Status for more information.
